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The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $62.76 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-04-01), The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $62.76. The stock price of The Walt Disney Co is $100.13. Therefore, The Walt Disney Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DIS' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45   Med: 1.26   Max: 6.45
Current: 1.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Walt Disney Co was 6.45. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 1.26.

DIS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
69.43% of 579 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.93 vs DIS: 1.60

The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Walt Disney Co Annual Data
Trend Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 93.99 84.77 71.75 69.33 66.09

The Walt Disney Co Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 66.86 66.90 66.00 66.09 62.76

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Walt Disney Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,964.32.

The Walt Disney Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3964.32+96149*0.8)/1827.000
=62.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Walt Disney Co  (NYSE:DIS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Walt Disney Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=100.13/62.759124378169
=1.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Walt Disney Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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The Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) Business Description

The Walt Disney Co logo
Address
500 South Buena Vista Street, Burbank, CA, USA, 91521
Walt Disney owns the rights to some of the most globally recognized characters, from Mickey Mouse to Luke Skywalker. These characters and others are featured in several Disney theme parks around the world. Disney makes live-action and animated films under studios such as Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm and also operates media networks including ESPN and several TV production studios. Disney shifted into a more streaming-focused firm by acquiring the remainder of Hulu and launching Disney+ and ESPN+. Across its streaming platforms, Disney had over 235 million subscribers as of September 2022, up sharply from under 64 million in December 2019.
Executives
Carolyn Everson director C/O THE HERTZ CORPORATION, 225 BRAE BOULEVARD, PARK RIDGE NJ 07656-0713
Kristina K Schake officer: Sr. EVP and Chief Comm Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Horacio E Gutierrez officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Geoff Morrell officer: SEVP Chf Corp Affairs Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Paul J Richardson officer: Sr. EVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Amy Chang director 2100 SEAPORT BLVD., C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Calvin Mcdonald director C/O LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC., 1818 CORNWALL AVENUE, VANCOUVER A1 V6J 1C7
Robert A Chapek officer: Chief Executive Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521
Maria Elena Lagomasino director 345 PARK AVENUE 5TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10154
Mark G Parker director ONE BOWERMAN DR, BEAVERTON OR 97005
Mary T Barra director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C25-A36, DETROIT MI 48265-3000
Froman Michael B. G. director 2000 PURCHASE STREET, PURCHASE NY 10577
Alan N Braverman officer: Sr EVP, General Counsel & Secy 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA ST, BURBANK CA 91521-1030
Christine M Mccarthy officer: SEVP-Chief Financial Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0964
Mary Jayne Parker officer: SEVP and Chief HR Officer 500 SOUTH BUENA VISTA STREET, BURBANK CA 91521-0966

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