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Marriott International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $47.36 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-07), Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $47.36. The stock price of Marriott International is $157.01. Therefore, Marriott International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MAR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.13   Med: 3.05   Max: 6.58
Current: 3.32

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Marriott International was 6.58. The lowest was 1.13. And the median was 3.05.

MAR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
82.26% of 530 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.24 vs MAR: 3.32

Marriott International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marriott International Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.57 56.72 52.02 43.49 45.38

Marriott International Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.77 43.82 45.38 46.24 47.36

Competitive Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Marriott International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Marriott International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Marriott International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,490.40.

Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1490.4+1772*0.8)/329.500
=47.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Marriott International  (NAS:MAR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Marriott International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=157.01/47.364892317529
=3.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Marriott International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Marriott International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Marriott International Business Description

Marriott International logo
Address
10400 Fernwood Road, Bethesda, MD, USA, 20817
Marriott operates nearly 1.5 million rooms across roughly 30 brands. Luxury represents 10% of total rooms, while full service, limited service, and time-shares are 43%, 46%, and 2% of all units, respectively. Marriott, Courtyard, and Sheraton are the largest brands, while Autograph, Tribute, Moxy, Aloft, and Element are newer lifestyle brands. Managed and franchised represent 97% of total rooms. North America makes up two thirds of total rooms. Managed, franchise, and incentive fees represent the vast majority of revenue and profitability for the company.
Executives
Goren Isabella D director C/O LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N V DELFTSEPLEIN 27E ROTTERDAM P7 3013AA
Breland Benjamin T. officer: EVP & Chief HR Officer 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD BETHESDA MD 20817
Rozanski Horacio director 8283 GREENSBORO DRIVE MCLEAN VA 22102
Lee Felitia officer: Controller and CAO 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD BETHESDA MD 20817
Mccarthy Margaret M director AETNA INC. 151 FARMINGTON AVENUE HARTFORD CT 06156
Brown William P officer: Pres. & Managing Dir., Europe 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD BETHESDA MD 20817
Reiss Rena Hozore officer: EVP & General Counsel 71 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE 12TH FLOOR CHICAGO IL 60606
Duncan Bruce W director ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE SUITE 4200 CHICAGO IL 60606
Hippeau Eric director STARWOOD HOTELS & RESORTS WORLDWIDE 44 SOUTH BROADWAY WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Lewis Aylwin B director 111 N. CANAL SUITE 850 CHICAGO IL 60606
Oberg Kathleen K. officer: CFO 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD BETHESDA MD 20817
Smith Craig S. officer: Pres. Mgn. Dir. Asia Pacific 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD BETHESDA MD 20817
Schwab Susan C director 2101 VAN MUNCHING HALL COLLEGE PARK MD 20742
Juliana B. Marriott Marital Trust other: Member of a 10% Group 6106 MACARTHER BOULEVARD SUITE 110 BETHESDA MD 20816
Bauduin Val officer: Controller & CAO 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD BETHESDA MD 20817

Marriott International Headlines

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