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PROG Holdings (PROG Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $68.36 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is PROG Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-12), PROG Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $68.36. The stock price of PROG Holdings is $35.03. Therefore, PROG Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for PROG Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PRG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.75   Max: 1.23
Current: 0.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PROG Holdings was 1.23. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.75.

PRG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.55% of 670 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.955 vs PRG: 0.51

PROG Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PROG Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PROG Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PROG Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.18 43.97 46.12 54.47 61.90

PROG Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 60.97 61.23 65.21 61.90 68.36

Competitive Comparison of PROG Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, PROG Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PROG Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, PROG Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PROG Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



PROG Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PROG Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $270.55.

PROG Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*270.55392+585.09*0.8)/44.528
=68.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PROG Holdings  (NYSE:PRG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PROG Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.03/68.357897144865
=0.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PROG Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PROG Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PROG Holdings (PROG Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
256 West Data Drive, Draper, UT, USA, 84020-2315
PROG Holdings Inc is a financial technology holding company that provides transparent and competitive payment options to consumers. The Company has two reportable segments: (i) Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider; and (ii) Vive Financial (Vive), an omnichannel provider of second-look revolving credit products. The majority of the revenue of the company is earned through the progressive leasing segment.
Executives
Michael Todd King officer: Chief Legal and Compliance Off 256 WEST DATA DRIVE, DRAPER UT 84020
Thomas Eugene Vin Iv officer: General Counsel and Corp Sec 632 NORTH TARA COURT, WHICHITA KS 67206
Brian Garner officer: Chief Financial Officer 256 WEST DATA DR, DRAPER UT 84020
Curtis Linn Doman director, officer: Chief Innovation Officer-PROG 256 DATA DR, DRAPER UT 84020
Steven A Michaels director, officer: CEO 256 DATA DR, DRAPER UT 84020
Ramon Michael Martinez director 256 WEST DATA DRIVE, DRAPER UT 84020
Caroline Sio-chin Sheu director 256 WEST DATA DRIVE, DRAPER UT 84020
Douglas C Curling director 1000 ALDERMAN DRIVE, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Ray M Robinson director 1170 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 2300, ATLANTA GA 30309
Kathy T Betty director 309 E. PACES FERRY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30305
Cynthia N Day director 75 PIEDMONT AVE, ATLANTA GA 30303
James P. Smith director 256 WEST DATA DRIVE, DRAPER UT 84020
George M Sewell officer: Principal Acct Off, VP Fin Rep 256 WEST DATA DR, DRAPER UT 84020
Blake Wakefield officer: President, Chief Revenue Off 256 WEST DATA DR, DRAPER UT 84020
Marvin A Fentress officer: General Counsel, Corp Sec 256 WEST DATA DR, DRAPER UT 84020