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Paychex (NAS:PAYX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $49.74 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2023-06-07), Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $49.74. The stock price of Paychex is $111.41. Therefore, Paychex's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PAYX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.97   Med: 2.5   Max: 9.62
Current: 2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Paychex was 9.62. The lowest was 0.97. And the median was 2.50.

PAYX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
79.78% of 643 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.96 vs PAYX: 2.24

Paychex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Paychex Annual Data
Trend May13 May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.86 36.60 40.31 40.56 43.99

Paychex Quarterly Data
May18 Aug18 Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 44.89 43.99 44.88 45.37 49.74

Competitive Comparison

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Paychex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Paychex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Paychex's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,247.23.

Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.267806016876*1247.232+3401.1*0.8)/362.300
=49.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Paychex  (NAS:PAYX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Paychex's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=111.41/49.742424052001
=2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Paychex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Paychex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Paychex (NAS:PAYX) Business Description

Paychex logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
911 Panorama Trail South, Rochester, NY, USA, 14625-2396
Paychex is a leading provider of payroll, human capital management, and insurance solutions servicing small and midsize clients primarily in the United States. The company, established in 1979, services over 730,000 clients and pays over 1 in 12 U.S. private-sector workers. Alongside its traditional payroll services, Paychex offers HCM solutions such as benefits administration and time and attendance software, as well as human resources outsourcing and insurance agency services.
Executives
Kevin A Price director 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Karen E. Saunders-mcclendon officer: VP, Chief Human Resources Offi 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Robert L. Schrader officer: VP/Controller 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Kara Wilson director C/O SUCCESSFACTORS, INC., 1500 FASHION ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 300, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Tom Bonadio director 1021 HOWARD AVE, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
John B Gibson officer: Sr. VP, Service CONVERGYS CORPORATION, 201 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Mark Anthony Bottini officer: Sr. VP of Sales 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Kevin N Hill officer: Vice President 50 WREN FIELD LN, PITTSFORD NY 114534
Michael E Gioja officer: Sr. Vice President 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Rebecca F Bernson officer: Sr. Vice President, Sales 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Efrain Rivera officer: Sr. Vice President, CFO 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Laurie L. Zaucha officer: Vice President 400 WILLOWBROOK OFFICE PARK, FAIRPORT NY 14450
Joseph Doody director CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INC, 25 GREENS HILL LANE PO BOX 866, RUTLAND VT 05701
Delbert M Humenik officer: Sr. Vice President 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625
Jennifer R. Vossler officer: VP/Controller 911 PANORAMA TRAIL SOUTH, ROCHESTER NY 14625

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