GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Amazon.com Inc (NAS:AMZN) » Definitions » Peter Lynch Fair Value
中文

Amazon.com (AMZN) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $46.57 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1997. Start your Free Trial

What is Amazon.com Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Amazon.com's PEG is 1. Amazon.com's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 16.55. Amazon.com's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.81. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $46.57.

As of today (2024-04-25), Amazon.com's share price is $176.59. Amazon.com's Peter Lynch fair value is $46.57. Therefore, Amazon.com's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 3.79.


The historical rank and industry rank for Amazon.com's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

AMZN' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.98   Med: 3.48   Max: 21.39
Current: 3.79


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Amazon.com was 21.39. The lowest was 2.98. And the median was 3.48.


AMZN's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
91.79% of 341 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs AMZN: 3.79

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Amazon.com Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amazon.com's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amazon.com Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Amazon.com Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.80 46.75 47.90 22.83 46.57

Amazon.com Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.83 21.17 26.06 34.60 46.57

Competitive Comparison of Amazon.com's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Amazon.com's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amazon.com's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Amazon.com's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amazon.com's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Amazon.com Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Amazon.com's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 16.55 *2.814
=46.57

Amazon.com's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $2.81.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Amazon.com  (NAS:AMZN) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 16.55 instead of 15 in this case.

Amazon.com's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=176.59/46.57
=3.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amazon.com Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amazon.com's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amazon.com (AMZN) Business Description

Address
410 Terry Avenue North, Seattle, WA, USA, 98109-5210
Amazon is a leading online retailer and one of the highest-grossing e-commerce aggregators, with $386 billion in net sales and approximately $578 billion in estimated physical/digital online gross merchandise volume in 2021. Retail-related revenue represents approximately 80% of the total, followed by Amazon Web Services' cloud computing, storage, database, and other offerings (10%-15%), advertising services (5%), and other. International segments constitute 25%-30% of Amazon's non-AWS sales, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Executives
Adam Selipsky officer: CEO Amazon Web Services PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Douglas J Herrington officer: CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
David Zapolsky officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Andrew R Jassy director, officer: President and CEO PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
Shelley Reynolds officer: Vice President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Brian T Olsavsky officer: Senior Vice President and CFO PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Daniel P Huttenlocher director ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Brad D Smith director 1040 13TH AVE, HUNTINGTON WV 25701
Jeffrey P Bezos director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO and President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
David H Clark officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Jonathan Rubinstein director APPLE COMPUTER INC, 1 INFINITE LOOP, CUPERTINO CA 95014
Edith W Cooper director C/O ETSY, INC., 117 ADAMS STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11249
Judith A Mcgrath director PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108
Jeffrey A Wilke officer: CEO Worldwide Consumer PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226
Patricia Q Stonesifer director PO BOX 81226, SEATTLE WA 98108-1226