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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -3.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Pan American Silver's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pan American Silver was 0.74. The lowest was -3.62. And the median was -2.69.
The historical data trend for Pan American Silver's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Pan American Silver Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | Dec24 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-3.34 | -2.70 | 0.74 | -3.23 | -3.07 |
Pan American Silver Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | Dec24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-3.23 | -3.03 | -3.07 | -3.19 | -3.07 |
For the Gold subindustry, Pan American Silver's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Pan American Silver's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Pan American Silver's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Pan American Silver for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.7147 | + | 0.528 * 0.6121 | + | 0.404 * 1.0637 | + | 0.892 * 3.8152 | + | 0.115 * 0.7341 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.9081 | + | 4.679 * -0.097426 | - | 0.327 * 1.0521 | |||||||
= | -0.90 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec24) TTM: | Last Year (Dec23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was ARS197,758 Mil. Revenue was 823251.008 + 680653.02 + 614581.641 + 506679.509 = ARS2,625,165 Mil. Gross Profit was 186749.002 + 167002.843 + 104683.949 + 59817.501 = ARS518,253 Mil. Total Current Assets was ARS1,737,604 Mil. Total Assets was ARS7,274,727 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS5,378,351 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS534,131 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS62,997 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was ARS693,870 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS763,459 Mil. Net Income was 108676.001 + 53893.348 + -19611.45 + -26033.25 = ARS116,925 Mil. Non Operating Income was 135239.001 + 3136.65 + 6537.15 + -8256.5 = ARS136,656 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 276841.003 + 215003.091 + 145697.848 + 51476.751 = ARS689,019 Mil. |
Total Receivables was ARS72,525 Mil. Revenue was 241725.6 + 215674.191 + 153575.999 + 77103.767 = ARS688,080 Mil. Gross Profit was 23428.9 + 23341.666 + 21120 + 15250.86 = ARS83,141 Mil. Total Current Assets was ARS501,790 Mil. Total Assets was ARS2,603,929 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ARS2,048,711 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ARS145,516 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ARS18,182 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was ARS225,336 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ARS270,461 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (197758.002 / 2625165.178) | / | (72524.9 / 688079.557) | |
= | 0.075332 | / | 0.105402 | |
= | 0.7147 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (83141.426 / 688079.557) | / | (518253.295 / 2625165.178) | |
= | 0.120831 | / | 0.197417 | |
= | 0.6121 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (1737604.017 + 5378351.054) / 7274727.073) | / | (1 - (501790 + 2048711.102) / 2603929.102) | |
= | 0.021825 | / | 0.020518 | |
= | 1.0637 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 2625165.178 | / | 688079.557 | |
= | 3.8152 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (145516.141 / (145516.141 + 2048711.102)) | / | (534131.297 / (534131.297 + 5378351.054)) | |
= | 0.066318 | / | 0.09034 | |
= | 0.7341 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (62997.049 / 2625165.178) | / | (18182.27 / 688079.557) | |
= | 0.023997 | / | 0.026425 | |
= | 0.9081 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((763459.008 + 693870.007) / 7274727.073) | / | ((270461.2 + 225336.2) / 2603929.102) | |
= | 0.200328 | / | 0.190404 | |
= | 1.0521 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (116924.649 - 136656.301 | - | 689018.693) | / | 7274727.073 | |
= | -0.097426 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Pan American Silver has a M-score of -0.90 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pan American Silver's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
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