ERELY (Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS) Beneish M-Score: -2.99 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ERELY Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ERELY
92 GF Score
Price $9.00
GF Value $6.75
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 12 Warning Signs
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What is Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Beneish M-Score?

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ERELY +0.45% 92 Beneish M-Score is -2.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ERELY with a GF Score™ of 92/100 and a GF Value™ of $6.75 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 12 warning signs investors should review. Among 593 Steel companies, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ranks better than 80.44% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ERELY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.29   Max: -0.49
Current: -2.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS was -0.49. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.29.


Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Beneish M-Score Chart

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.83 -1.28 -2.14 -2.50 -3.20

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.70 -2.34 -2.74 -3.20 -2.99

ERELY vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ERELY
92GF Score
Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ERELY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0374+0.528 * 0.8973+0.404 * 0.6631+0.892 * 0.8523+0.115 * 1.7415
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1312+4.679 * -0.084134-0.327 * 1.1116
=-3.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $619 Mil.
Revenue was 1352.072 + 1430.262 + 1282.828 + 1051.621 = $5,117 Mil.
Gross Profit was 108.864 + 157.728 + 101.029 + 98.18 = $466 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,823 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,065 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,643 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $180 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $102 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,868 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,664 Mil.
Net Income was 8.696 + -43.903 + 15.773 + 33.178 = $14 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 9.277 + 418.424 + 1137.389 + -452.108 = $1,113 Mil.
Total Receivables was $700 Mil.
Revenue was 1442.946 + 1576.141 + 1432.806 + 1551.698 = $6,004 Mil.
Gross Profit was 102.438 + 68.915 + 127.284 + 191.746 = $490 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,144 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,257 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,265 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $301 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $105 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,963 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,706 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(618.865 / 5116.783) / (699.958 / 6003.591)
=0.120948 / 0.11659
=1.0374

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(490.383 / 6003.591) / (465.801 / 5116.783)
=0.081682 / 0.091034
=0.8973

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5823.123 + 6643.036) / 13065.333) / (1 - (5144.391 + 6265.216) / 12257.263)
=0.04586 / 0.069155
=0.6631

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5116.783 / 6003.591
=0.8523

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(301.262 / (301.262 + 6265.216)) / (179.743 / (179.743 + 6643.036))
=0.045879 / 0.026345
=1.7415

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(101.626 / 5116.783) / (105.411 / 6003.591)
=0.019861 / 0.017558
=1.1312

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2663.951 + 2867.908) / 13065.333) / ((2705.824 + 1962.986) / 12257.263)
=0.4234 / 0.380902
=1.1116

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(13.744 - 0 - 1112.982) / 13065.333
=-0.084134

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS has a M-score of -3.14 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.99 mean?
Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS (ERELY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ranks #116 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 19.6%.
Is Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score too high?
Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. Based on the distribution chart, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ranks #116 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS has a GF Score™ of 92/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS ranks #116 out of 593 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS and its competitors. Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS (ERELY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $6.75, compared to a current price of $9.00 — trading 33.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.99. Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS's overall GF Score™ is 92/100 with 12 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS (ERELY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS (ERELY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $9.00 is trading 33.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $6.75. GuruFocus considers Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ERELY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.99
  • GF Value™: $6.75 vs. price of $9.00 (33.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 92/100 with 12 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ERELY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS Business Description

Other Exchanges EREGL:TurkeyEDVA:Germany
Address Barbaros Mahallesi Ardic Sok No: 6, Atasehir, Istanbul, TUR, 34746
Eregli Demir Ve Celik Fabrikalari TAS is a Turkey-based company engaged in production of flat steel, long steel and other steel products. The company also provides engineering and project management services, as well as port services. As well, the company owns an iron ore mining arm. The company's steel products include hot-rolled product, cold-rolled product, galvanized products, metal packaging steel, billet, wire-rod, etc. These products are used in the automotive sector, manufacturing industry, projected works, consumer products, packaging industries and others. Most of the company's revenue comes from the Turkish domestic market.
92GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ERELY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.00
Price
$6.75
GF Value