HTZ (Hertz Global Holdings) Beneish M-Score: -3.70 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


HTZ Hertz Global Holdings Inc HTZ
70 GF Score
Price $2.99
GF Value $5.58
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hertz Global Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Hertz Global Holdings HTZ -41.01% 70 Beneish M-Score is -3.70 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HTZ with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $5.58 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, Hertz Global Holdings ranks better than 92.75% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.7 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hertz Global Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HTZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.38   Med: -3.01   Max: 1.36
Current: -3.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hertz Global Holdings was 1.36. The lowest was -10.38. And the median was -3.01.


Hertz Global Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hertz Global Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hertz Global Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Hertz Global Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.08 -2.54 -2.35 -6.13 -3.82

Hertz Global Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.84 -10.38 -3.23 -3.82 -3.70

HTZ vs VSTS, PRG, WLFC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Hertz Global Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hertz Global Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Hertz Global Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hertz Global Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HTZ
70GF Score
Hertz Global Holdings Inc HTZ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hertz Global Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hertz Global Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9182+0.528 * -0.314+0.404 * 0.9845+0.892 * 0.9901+0.115 * 1.6407
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.123+4.679 * -0.101812-0.327 * 1.0237
=-3.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,120 Mil.
Revenue was 2004 + 2028 + 2478 + 2185 = $8,695 Mil.
Gross Profit was 153 + 87 + 542 + 309 = $1,091 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,339 Mil.
Total Assets was $23,288 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,847 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,174 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $974 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,282 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $20,585 Mil.
Net Income was -333 + -194 + 184 + -294 = $-637 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 35 + 120 + 180 + 5 = $340 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 20 + 193 + 835 + 346 = $1,394 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,232 Mil.
Revenue was 1813 + 2040 + 2576 + 2353 = $8,782 Mil.
Gross Profit was 33 + -630 + 232 + 19 = $-346 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,253 Mil.
Total Assets was $22,047 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,888 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,674 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $876 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,279 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $17,868 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1120 / 8695) / (1232 / 8782)
=0.12881 / 0.140287
=0.9182

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-346 / 8782) / (1091 / 8695)
=-0.039399 / 0.125474
=-0.314

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2339 + 15847) / 23288) / (1 - (2253 + 14888) / 22047)
=0.219083 / 0.222525
=0.9845

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8695 / 8782
=0.9901

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3674 / (3674 + 14888)) / (2174 / (2174 + 15847))
=0.197931 / 0.120637
=1.6407

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(974 / 8695) / (876 / 8782)
=0.112018 / 0.099749
=1.123

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((20585 + 2282) / 23288) / ((17868 + 3279) / 22047)
=0.981922 / 0.959178
=1.0237

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-637 - 340 - 1394) / 23288
=-0.101812

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hertz Global Holdings has a M-score of -3.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.70 mean?
Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.70 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hertz Global Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hertz Global Holdings ranks #74 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 7.3%.
Is Hertz Global Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Hertz Global Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -3.70. Based on the distribution chart, Hertz Global Holdings ranks #74 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Hertz Global Holdings has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hertz Global Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to VSTS and PRG?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Hertz Global Holdings ranks #74 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Hertz Global Holdings in the top 7% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hertz Global Holdings and its competitors. Hertz Global Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -3.70. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hertz Global Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $5.58, compared to a current price of $2.99 — trading 46.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.70. Hertz Global Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.70 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hertz Global Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $2.99 is trading 46.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $5.58. GuruFocus considers Hertz Global Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HTZ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.70
  • GF Value™: $5.58 vs. price of $2.99 (46.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HTZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hertz Global Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges HTZ1:MexicoAZK0:Germany
Address 8501 Williams Road, 3rd Floor, Estero, FL, USA, 33928
Hertz Global Holdings Inc is engaged principally in the business of renting vehicles through its Hertz, Dollar and Thrifty brands. The company has two reportable segments: i) Americas RAC: Rental of vehicles, as well as sales of vehicles and value-added services, in the U.S., Canada, Latin America and the Caribbean, ii) International RAC: Rental of vehicles, as well as sales of vehicles and value-added services, in locations other than the U.S., Canada, Latin America and the Caribbean. The company maintains a substantial network of company-operated rental locations, a majority of which are in Europe, and has franchisees and partners that operate rental locations under brands. Geographical markets include North America, Europe, Pacific Asia, Middle East and Africa, and Latin America.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HTZ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$2.99
Price
$5.58
GF Value