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PT Modernland Realty Tbk (ISX:MDLN) Beneish M-Score : -2.85 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is PT Modernland Realty Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:MDLN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.83   Med: -1.88   Max: 0.08
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Modernland Realty Tbk was 0.08. The lowest was -3.83. And the median was -1.88.


PT Modernland Realty Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Modernland Realty Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Modernland Realty Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -2.53 -1.64 -1.89 -2.67

PT Modernland Realty Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.42 -1.68 -2.28 -2.67 -2.85

Competitive Comparison of PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Modernland Realty Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Modernland Realty Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Modernland Realty Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6817+0.528 * 1.0186+0.404 * 0.9705+0.892 * 1.2299+0.115 * 0.9343
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0212+4.679 * -0.053328-0.327 * 1.066
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp103,124 Mil.
Revenue was 182151.294 + 369544.576 + 462294.509 + 112761.192 = Rp1,126,752 Mil.
Gross Profit was 79582.202 + 119643.736 + 267784.846 + 50152.234 = Rp517,163 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp2,841,497 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp13,717,143 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp2,936,969 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp27,512 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp215,872 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp3,380,413 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp6,046,933 Mil.
Net Income was -270063.109 + -38643.08 + -156183.087 + -103552.543 = Rp-568,442 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -38829.941 + 186391.854 + 61212.123 + -45711.765 = Rp163,062 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp123,001 Mil.
Revenue was 207707.381 + 484305.414 + 147710.005 + 76415.405 = Rp916,138 Mil.
Gross Profit was 100218.137 + 216676.919 + 76860.687 + 34546.724 = Rp428,302 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp2,529,535 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp13,596,571 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp2,958,645 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp25,875 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp171,881 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp3,191,603 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp5,574,604 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(103123.778 / 1126751.571) / (123001.196 / 916138.205)
=0.091523 / 0.134261
=0.6817

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(428302.467 / 916138.205) / (517163.018 / 1126751.571)
=0.467509 / 0.458986
=1.0186

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2841497.039 + 2936969.139) / 13717142.793) / (1 - (2529534.848 + 2958645.403) / 13596571.179)
=0.578741 / 0.596356
=0.9705

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1126751.571 / 916138.205
=1.2299

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(25874.996 / (25874.996 + 2958645.403)) / (27511.856 / (27511.856 + 2936969.139))
=0.00867 / 0.00928
=0.9343

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(215871.75 / 1126751.571) / (171880.671 / 916138.205)
=0.191588 / 0.187614
=1.0212

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6046933.282 + 3380412.83) / 13717142.793) / ((5574604.472 + 3191602.751) / 13596571.179)
=0.687267 / 0.644737
=1.066

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-568441.819 - 0 - 163062.271) / 13717142.793
=-0.053328

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Modernland Realty Tbk has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Modernland Realty Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Modernland Realty Tbk (ISX:MDLN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Jalan Gajah Mada No. 188, Commercial Area, 5th Floor, Green Central City, Jakarta Barat, Jakarta, IDN, 11120
PT Modernland Realty Tbk is engaged in property development of residential housing, industrial areas, warehousing, and apartments; management of the hotel and office buildings; the panel manufacturing industry; golf-course services and management; and investment in property, facilities, and infrastructure. The company's segment comprises Residential, Industrial and Hospitality. The majority of its revenue gets derived from the Residential segment.

PT Modernland Realty Tbk (ISX:MDLN) Headlines

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