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PepsiCo (MEX:PEP) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of Mar. 26, 2025)


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What is PepsiCo Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:PEP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.18
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PepsiCo was -2.18. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.64.


PepsiCo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PepsiCo Beneish M-Score Chart

PepsiCo Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.65 -2.45 -2.63 -2.67

PepsiCo Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.60 -2.58 -2.56 -2.67

Competitive Comparison of PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PepsiCo's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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PepsiCo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PepsiCo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0614+0.528 * 0.9953+0.404 * 0.9914+0.892 * 1.106+0.115 * 1.0557
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0143+4.679 * -0.035034-0.327 * 1.0033
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN215,502 Mil.
Revenue was 579454.768 + 459158.106 + 412220.638 + 302881.654 = MXN1,753,715 Mil.
Gross Profit was 304555.787 + 254457.747 + 230503.536 + 165995.743 = MXN955,513 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN538,619 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN2,074,454 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN584,126 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN72,991 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN712,907 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN657,705 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN776,333 Mil.
Net Income was 31763.231 + 57692.579 + 56480.878 + 33889.553 = MXN179,826 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -3879.16 + 807.302 + 1025.926 + 962.583 = MXN-1,083 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 131119.786 + 96580.922 + 43162.163 + -17276.701 = MXN253,586 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN183,576 Mil.
Revenue was 472732.807 + 408525.391 + 382686.136 + 321674.15 = MXN1,585,618 Mil.
Gross Profit was 250421.081 + 222578.666 + 209172.724 + 177690.45 = MXN859,863 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN457,456 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,705,827 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN458,967 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN60,969 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN635,503 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN537,184 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN638,147 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(215501.948 / 1753715.166) / (183576.492 / 1585618.484)
=0.122883 / 0.115776
=1.0614

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(859862.921 / 1585618.484) / (955512.813 / 1753715.166)
=0.542289 / 0.544851
=0.9953

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (538619.308 + 584126.445) / 2074453.91) / (1 - (457455.983 + 458966.691) / 1705827.052)
=0.458775 / 0.462769
=0.9914

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1753715.166 / 1585618.484
=1.106

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(60968.603 / (60968.603 + 458966.691)) / (72991.402 / (72991.402 + 584126.445))
=0.117262 / 0.111078
=1.0557

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(712907.143 / 1753715.166) / (635503.339 / 1585618.484)
=0.406513 / 0.400792
=1.0143

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((776332.576 + 657705.355) / 2074453.91) / ((638146.853 + 537184.026) / 1705827.052)
=0.691285 / 0.689009
=1.0033

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(179826.241 - -1083.349 - 253586.17) / 2074453.91
=-0.035034

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PepsiCo has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PepsiCo Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PepsiCo Business Description

Address
700 Anderson Hill Road, Purchase, NY, USA, 10577
PepsiCo is a global leader in snacks and beverages, owning well-known household brands including Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Lay's, Cheetos, and Doritos, among others. The company dominates the global savory snacks market and also ranks as the second-largest beverage provider in the world (behind Coca-Cola) with diversified exposure to carbonated soft drinks, or CSD, as well as water, sports, and energy drink offerings. Convenience foods account for approximately 55% of its total revenue, with beverages making up the rest. Pepsi owns the bulk of its manufacturing and distribution capacity in the US and overseas. International markets made up 40% of both total sales and operating profits in 2024.