US Foods Holding (MEX:USFD) Beneish M-Score: -2.65 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


MEX:USFD US Foods Holding Corp MEX:USFD
62 GF Score
Price MXN1,409.40
GF Value MXN1,082.90
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is US Foods Holding Beneish M-Score?

US Foods Holding MEX:USFD 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:USFD with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,082.90 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, US Foods Holding ranks better than 56.66% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:USFD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.07   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.02
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of US Foods Holding was -2.02. The lowest was -3.07. And the median was -2.57.


US Foods Holding Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

US Foods Holding Beneish M-Score Chart

US Foods Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.55 -2.66 -2.62 -2.69

US Foods Holding Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.62 -2.65 -2.69 -2.65

MEX:USFD vs PFGC, CHEF, UNFI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Food Distribution subindustry, US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


US Foods Holding Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:USFD
62GF Score
US Foods Holding Corp MEX:USFD
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

US Foods Holding Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of US Foods Holding for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9621+0.528 * 0.9989+0.404 * 0.9688+0.892 * 0.9576+0.115 * 0.9847
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.998+4.679 * -0.040307-0.327 * 1.0419
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN43,315 Mil.
Revenue was 173294.247 + 176455.86 + 186945.742 + 189835.994 = MXN726,532 Mil.
Gross Profit was 29808.053 + 30969.804 + 32157.383 + 33459.488 = MXN126,395 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN78,623 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN255,415 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN48,724 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN8,583 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN103,888 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN68,867 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN90,614 Mil.
Net Income was 2091.793 + 3313.049 + 2806.663 + 4217.741 = MXN12,429 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -126.229 + -216.068 + -238.475 + 0 = MXN-581 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5301.614 + 5275.67 + 6438.814 + 6288.953 = MXN23,305 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN47,013 Mil.
Revenue was 191304.628 + 197941.449 + 191547.239 + 177869.88 = MXN758,663 Mil.
Gross Profit was 33019.535 + 34745.596 + 32823.73 + 31254.096 = MXN131,843 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN83,694 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN279,275 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN51,043 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN8,830 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN108,698 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN71,440 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN95,929 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(43314.545 / 726531.843) / (47012.944 / 758663.196)
=0.059618 / 0.061968
=0.9621

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(131842.957 / 758663.196) / (126394.728 / 726531.843)
=0.173783 / 0.17397
=0.9989

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (78622.572 + 48724.355) / 255415.163) / (1 - (83694.496 + 51043.209) / 279274.888)
=0.501412 / 0.517545
=0.9688

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=726531.843 / 758663.196
=0.9576

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8829.566 / (8829.566 + 51043.209)) / (8582.532 / (8582.532 + 48724.355))
=0.147472 / 0.149764
=0.9847

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(103887.84 / 726531.843) / (108698.413 / 758663.196)
=0.142991 / 0.143276
=0.998

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((90614.318 + 68866.881) / 255415.163) / ((95928.5 + 71440.034) / 279274.888)
=0.6244 / 0.599297
=1.0419

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(12429.246 - -580.772 - 23305.051) / 255415.163
=-0.040307

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

US Foods Holding has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 mean?
US Foods Holding (MEX:USFD) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on US Foods Holding and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, US Foods Holding ranks #127 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 43.3%.
Is US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score too high?
US Foods Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. Based on the distribution chart, US Foods Holding ranks #127 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, US Foods Holding has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does US Foods Holding's Beneish M-Score compare to PFGC and CHEF?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, US Foods Holding ranks #127 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts US Foods Holding in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on US Foods Holding and its competitors. US Foods Holding's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is US Foods Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, US Foods Holding (MEX:USFD) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,082.90, compared to a current price of MXN1,409.40 — trading 30.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. US Foods Holding's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For US Foods Holding (MEX:USFD), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is US Foods Holding (MEX:USFD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, US Foods Holding stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,409.40 is trading 30.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,082.90. GuruFocus considers US Foods Holding to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:USFD:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.65
  • GF Value™: MXN1,082.90 vs. price of MXN1,409.40 (30.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:USFD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


US Foods Holding Business Description

Other Exchanges USFD:USAUFH:Germany
Address 9399 West Higgins Road, Suite 100, Rosemont, IL, USA, 60018
US Foods Holding Corp is a U.S. food service distributor that distributes food and nonfood products to the healthcare and hospitality industries, restaurants, education, government facilities, and grocers. It has various customer locations across the United States, with a vast network of distribution facilities, a fleet of trucks, and cash and carry locations offering food and non-food products, and a comprehensive suite of e-commerce, technology, and business solutions to its customers. The company operates in one business segment in which it markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers throughout the U.S. The products offered are as snacks, beverages, fresh produce, sauces, condiments, canned/frozen fruits and others.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:USFD

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,409.40
Price
MXN1,082.90
GF Value