Nation Media Group (NAI:NMG) Beneish M-Score: -2.41 (As of Aug. 12, 2026)

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NAI:NMG Nation Media Group PLC NAI:NMG
67 GF Score
Price KES13.35
GF Value KES13.72
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nation Media Group Beneish M-Score?

Nation Media Group NAI:NMG +2.69% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates NAI:NMG with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of KES13.72 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 969 Media - Diversified companies, Nation Media Group ranks worse than 60.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.41 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

NAI:NMG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.49   Max: -1.82
Current: -2.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nation Media Group was -1.82. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.49.


Nation Media Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nation Media Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Nation Media Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 -2.37 -2.11 -2.40 -2.41

Nation Media Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.86 -2.37 -2.11 -2.40 -2.41

NAI:NMG vs NFLX, DIS, WBD: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nation Media Group Beneish M-Score vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


NAI:NMG
67GF Score
Nation Media Group PLC NAI:NMG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nation Media Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nation Media Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9464+0.528 * 0.9982+0.404 * 1.1093+0.892 * 0.9695+0.115 * 0.9955
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0247+4.679 * 0.015871-0.327 * 0.8919
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was KES2,960 Mil.
Revenue was KES6,039 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES4,134 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES5,720 Mil.
Total Assets was KES9,836 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES1,203 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES362 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES3,385 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES2,659 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES95 Mil.
Net Income was KES-309 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was KES-465 Mil.
Total Receivables was KES3,226 Mil.
Revenue was KES6,230 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES4,256 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES6,499 Mil.
Total Assets was KES10,701 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES1,345 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES402 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES3,407 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES3,193 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES167 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2960 / 6039.4) / (3226.2 / 6229.6)
=0.490115 / 0.517882
=0.9464

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4256.1 / 6229.6) / (4133.7 / 6039.4)
=0.683206 / 0.684455
=0.9982

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5719.6 + 1203.2) / 9835.8) / (1 - (6498.7 + 1344.9) / 10700.5)
=0.296163 / 0.266988
=1.1093

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6039.4 / 6229.6
=0.9695

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(402.4 / (402.4 + 1344.9)) / (362.1 / (362.1 + 1203.2))
=0.230298 / 0.231329
=0.9955

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3384.7 / 6039.4) / (3407.2 / 6229.6)
=0.560436 / 0.546937
=1.0247

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((95.2 + 2659.2) / 9835.8) / ((167 + 3192.8) / 10700.5)
=0.280038 / 0.313985
=0.8919

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-308.9 - 0 - -465) / 9835.8
=0.015871

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nation Media Group has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 mean?
Nation Media Group (NAI:NMG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 as of Aug. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nation Media Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nation Media Group ranks #587 out of 969 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, placing it in the top 60.6%.
Is Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Nation Media Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Based on the distribution chart, Nation Media Group ranks #587 out of 969 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nation Media Group has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nation Media Group's Beneish M-Score compare to NFLX and DIS?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, Nation Media Group ranks #587 out of 969 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Nation Media Group in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nation Media Group and its competitors. Nation Media Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nation Media Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nation Media Group (NAI:NMG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is KES13.72, compared to a current price of KES13.35 — trading 2.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Nation Media Group's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nation Media Group (NAI:NMG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nation Media Group (NAI:NMG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nation Media Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of KES13.35 is trading 2.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of KES13.72. GuruFocus considers Nation Media Group to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for NAI:NMG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.41
  • GF Value™: KES13.72 vs. price of KES13.35 (2.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NAI:NMG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nation Media Group Business Description

Other Exchanges NMG:Tanzania
Address Kimathi Street, P. O Box 49010, Nation Centre, Nairobi, KEN, 00100
Nation Media Group PLC is an independent media house in East and Central Africa with operations in print, broadcast and digital media which attract and serve unparalleled audiences across East Africa. It is engaged in the publication, printing and distribution of newspapers, radio and television broadcasting and digital online products, in the East African countries of Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and Tanzania. Its segment include Newspapers and Digital incorporating sale of newspapers, advertisements published in the newspapers, advertisements in the digital platforms and subscriptions of e-paper, and Broadcasting incorporating advertisements and other content aired on television and radio. The majority of revenue is derived from Newspapers and Digital segment.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NAI:NMG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KES13.35
Price
KES13.72
GF Value