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Algoma Steel Group (Algoma Steel Group) Beneish M-Score

: -1.11 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.11 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Algoma Steel Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASTL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.18   Med: -1.84   Max: 0.6
Current: -1.11

During the past 4 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Algoma Steel Group was 0.60. The lowest was -3.18. And the median was -1.84.


Algoma Steel Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Algoma Steel Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Algoma Steel Group Annual Data
Trend Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.57 -1.06

Algoma Steel Group Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -1.06 0.60 -0.23 -1.11

Competitive Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Algoma Steel Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Algoma Steel Group Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Algoma Steel Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Algoma Steel Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Algoma Steel Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Algoma Steel Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2817+0.528 * 2.2139+0.404 * 3.2859+0.892 * 0.9048+0.115 * 1.1438
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1304+4.679 * -0.058128-0.327 * 1.1084
=-1.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $225 Mil.
Revenue was 458.706 + 541.423 + 622.61 + 495.067 = $2,118 Mil.
Gross Profit was -6.261 + 50.107 + 141.277 + 34.13 = $219 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,001 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,976 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $969 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $78 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $80 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $348 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $94 Mil.
Net Income was -63.208 + 22.984 + 98.525 + -14.909 = $43 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -39.207 + 9.829 + 9.408 + -21.852 = $-42 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -35.331 + 42.273 + 123.363 + 69.795 = $200 Mil.
Total Receivables was $194 Mil.
Revenue was 417.961 + 449.209 + 729.538 + 743.918 = $2,341 Mil.
Gross Profit was -32.389 + 22.341 + 279.053 + 267.457 = $536 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,122 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,876 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $753 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $71 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $78 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $306 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $72 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(225.104 / 2117.806) / (194.111 / 2340.626)
=0.106291 / 0.082931
=1.2817

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(536.462 / 2340.626) / (219.253 / 2117.806)
=0.229196 / 0.103528
=2.2139

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1001.342 + 968.992) / 1976.446) / (1 - (1121.973 + 752.595) / 1876.334)
=0.003092 / 0.000941
=3.2859

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2117.806 / 2340.626
=0.9048

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(70.556 / (70.556 + 752.595)) / (78.498 / (78.498 + 968.992))
=0.085715 / 0.074939
=1.1438

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(79.887 / 2117.806) / (78.107 / 2340.626)
=0.037722 / 0.03337
=1.1304

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((93.769 + 347.794) / 1976.446) / ((72.212 + 305.999) / 1876.334)
=0.223413 / 0.201569
=1.1084

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(43.392 - -41.822 - 200.1) / 1976.446
=-0.058128

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Algoma Steel Group has a M-score of -1.05 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Algoma Steel Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Algoma Steel Group (Algoma Steel Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
105 West Street, Sault Ste., Marie, ON, CAN, P6A 7B4
Algoma Steel Group Inc is a Canadian company engaged in the production of clean and consistent light gauge steel. The company offers a range of hot and cold rolled steel sheet and plate products. The firm operates in a single segment of basic steel production including sheets, plates, slabs, and freights. The Company's revenue is generated from contracts to produce, ship, and deliver steel products Geographically it serves Canada, the United States, and the rest of the world, whilst driving key revenue from domestic sales. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the sale of Steel sheets and strips.