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Avic Heavy Machinery Co (SHSE:600765) Beneish M-Score : -2.31 (As of Mar. 04, 2025)


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What is Avic Heavy Machinery Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.31 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600765' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -18.71   Med: -2.37   Max: -0.98
Current: -2.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Avic Heavy Machinery Co was -0.98. The lowest was -18.71. And the median was -2.37.


Avic Heavy Machinery Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avic Heavy Machinery Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Avic Heavy Machinery Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 -2.41 -18.71 -2.11 -2.22

Avic Heavy Machinery Co Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.16 -2.22 -2.29 -2.06 -2.31

Competitive Comparison of Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avic Heavy Machinery Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Avic Heavy Machinery Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Avic Heavy Machinery Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1669+0.528 * 1.0837+0.404 * 0.8803+0.892 * 0.9366+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3261+4.679 * 0.028865-0.327 * 1.0088
=-2.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥10,328 Mil.
Revenue was 2052.421 + 2823.735 + 2648.296 + 2609.284 = ¥10,134 Mil.
Gross Profit was 692.04 + 888.851 + 788.165 + 647.84 = ¥3,017 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥19,245 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥27,072 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥5,882 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥271 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥10,831 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥2,671 Mil.
Net Income was 290.093 + 401.306 + 321.443 + 301.127 = ¥1,314 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -6.947 + -225.641 + -287.704 + 1052.827 = ¥533 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥9,449 Mil.
Revenue was 2463.569 + 3163.967 + 2340.313 + 2851.352 = ¥10,819 Mil.
Gross Profit was 764.385 + 1153.562 + 742.855 + 829.804 = ¥3,491 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥17,651 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥24,678 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥5,013 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥218 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥10,598 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥1,602 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10327.504 / 10133.736) / (9448.685 / 10819.201)
=1.019121 / 0.873326
=1.1669

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3490.606 / 10819.201) / (3016.896 / 10133.736)
=0.322631 / 0.297708
=1.0837

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (19244.822 + 5882.031) / 27072.334) / (1 - (17650.639 + 5012.82) / 24678.032)
=0.071862 / 0.081634
=0.8803

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10133.736 / 10819.201
=0.9366

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 5012.82)) / (0 / (0 + 5882.031))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(271.366 / 10133.736) / (218.471 / 10819.201)
=0.026778 / 0.020193
=1.3261

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2670.936 + 10830.588) / 27072.334) / ((1602.099 + 10597.642) / 24678.032)
=0.49872 / 0.494356
=1.0088

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1313.969 - 0 - 532.535) / 27072.334
=0.028865

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Avic Heavy Machinery Co has a M-score of -2.31 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Avic Heavy Machinery Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Avic Heavy Machinery Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 501, Beitun Road, Xintian Village, Wudang District, Guizhou Province, Guiyang, CHN, 550018
Avic Heavy Machinery Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in the development, production, and sale of both military and civilian-used high-end equipment. It manufactures hydraulic parts, hydraulic systems, forging products, heat exchangers and gas turbines in China. The company operates in the business areas of Forging business, Hydraulic business, and New energy business. In the Forging business, the company mainly produces die forgings, free forgings, isothermal forgings and rings of different materials. In Hydraulic business, the main products are various types of heat exchangers, high-speed rotating machinery (turbine, pumps, fans), oil tanks, cooling devices, high-temperature insulation components.
Executives
Li Yang senior management
Hu Ling Hong Directors, senior managers
Ji Sheng Li senior management
Zhang Zheng Yuan senior management
Mao Yuan Supervisors
Ran Xing Director
Wang Zhi Hong senior management
Qiao Kun senior management
Liu Zhong Wen senior management
Sun Ji Bing senior management
Li Xue Qin Director
Jiang Chao Director
Ji Su Chun senior management
Huang Yun Director
Hu Hai Yin senior management

Avic Heavy Machinery Co Headlines

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