SWRBY (Swire Pacific) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


SWRBY Swire Pacific Ltd SWRBY
62 GF Score
Price $8.25
GF Value $2.86
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score?

Swire Pacific SWRBY 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates SWRBY with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.86 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 538 Conglomerates companies, Swire Pacific ranks better than 63.01% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SWRBY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: -2.47   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Swire Pacific was -2.21. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was -2.47.


Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Chart

Swire Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.43 -2.35 -2.29 -2.61

Swire Pacific Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 0.00 -2.29 0.00 -2.61

SWRBY vs HON, MMM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score falls into.


SWRBY
62GF Score
Swire Pacific Ltd SWRBY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Swire Pacific Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Swire Pacific for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8929+0.528 * 0.9965+0.404 * 0.9949+0.892 * 1.1026+0.115 * 0.9359
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9961+4.679 * -0.024376-0.327 * 1.0061
=-2.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,554 Mil.
Revenue was $11,627 Mil.
Gross Profit was $4,336 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,703 Mil.
Total Assets was $61,229 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,190 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $599 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,938 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,872 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,698 Mil.
Net Income was $378 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $1,870 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,579 Mil.
Revenue was $10,545 Mil.
Gross Profit was $3,919 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,640 Mil.
Total Assets was $61,307 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $4,016 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $533 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,675 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,202 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $10,283 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1554.339 / 11626.954) / (1578.717 / 10544.807)
=0.133684 / 0.149715
=0.8929

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3918.877 / 10544.807) / (4336.187 / 11626.954)
=0.37164 / 0.372943
=0.9965

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7703.321 + 4189.929) / 61229.308) / (1 - (7639.643 + 4015.875) / 61306.635)
=0.805759 / 0.809882
=0.9949

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11626.954 / 10544.807
=1.1026

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(532.585 / (532.585 + 4015.875)) / (599.167 / (599.167 + 4189.929))
=0.117091 / 0.125111
=0.9359

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2938.258 / 11626.954) / (2675.149 / 10544.807)
=0.252711 / 0.253694
=0.9961

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9697.975 + 7871.556) / 61229.308) / ((10283.016 + 7201.868) / 61306.635)
=0.286946 / 0.285204
=1.0061

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(377.596 - 0 - 1870.116) / 61229.308
=-0.024376

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Swire Pacific has a M-score of -2.61 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Swire Pacific (SWRBY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Swire Pacific and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Swire Pacific ranks #199 out of 538 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 37%.
Is Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score too high?
Swire Pacific's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Swire Pacific ranks #199 out of 538 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Swire Pacific has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Swire Pacific's Beneish M-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Swire Pacific ranks #199 out of 538 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Swire Pacific in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Conglomerates company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Swire Pacific and its competitors. Swire Pacific's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Swire Pacific stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swire Pacific (SWRBY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.86, compared to a current price of $8.25 — trading 188.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Swire Pacific's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Swire Pacific (SWRBY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Swire Pacific (SWRBY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Swire Pacific stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $8.25 is trading 188.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $2.86. GuruFocus considers Swire Pacific to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SWRBY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: $2.86 vs. price of $8.25 (188.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SWRBY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Swire Pacific Business Description

Address 88 Queensway, GPO Box 1, 33rd Floor, One Pacific Place, Hong Kong, HKG
Swire Pacific is a Hong Kong-based conglomerate with interests in property, aviation, beverage, trading, and industrials. The property division, an 82% stake in Swire Properties, contributes more than half of the group's operating profit. The beverage division is one of two Coca-Cola bottlers in mainland China and also a bottler in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, and Cambodia. The aviation division consists of Haeco, an aircraft engineering company, and a 45% stake in Cathay Pacific. John Swire & Sons, the parent company, holds a 64% stake in Swire Pacific but has 71% of the voting rights through a dual-class share structure.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SWRBY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$8.25
Price
$2.86
GF Value