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Cathay Financial Holding Co (TPE:2882) Beneish M-Score : -2.86 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Cathay Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.86 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cathay Financial Holding Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:2882' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.53   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cathay Financial Holding Co was -2.17. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.53.


Cathay Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cathay Financial Holding Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0057+0.892 * 0.7213+0.115 * 0.8926
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.7077+4.679 * 0.0086-0.327 * 1.1215
=-2.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$0 Mil.
Revenue was 40391.694 + 79701.896 + 93784.239 + 60118.031 = NT$273,996 Mil.
Gross Profit was 40391.694 + 79701.896 + 93784.239 + 60118.031 = NT$273,996 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$657,601 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$12,811,120 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$114,927 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$8,636 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$33,331 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$91,005 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$285,488 Mil.
Net Income was -8323.129 + 26756.327 + 25486.639 + 7009.028 = NT$50,929 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -97416.326 + -110245.299 + 64149.964 + 84262.064 = NT$-59,250 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$0 Mil.
Revenue was 33350.702 + 85977.004 + 115056.919 + 145503.283 = NT$379,888 Mil.
Gross Profit was 33350.702 + 85977.004 + 115056.919 + 145503.283 = NT$379,888 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$678,336 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$12,070,886 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$113,384 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$7,544 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$27,062 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$78,272 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$238,032 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 273995.86) / (0 / 379887.908)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(379887.908 / 379887.908) / (273995.86 / 273995.86)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (657600.784 + 114927.064) / 12811120.326) / (1 - (678336.116 + 113384.088) / 12070885.583)
=0.939699 / 0.934411
=1.0057

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=273995.86 / 379887.908
=0.7213

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7544.064 / (7544.064 + 113384.088)) / (8635.961 / (8635.961 + 114927.064))
=0.062385 / 0.069891
=0.8926

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(33331.212 / 273995.86) / (27061.81 / 379887.908)
=0.121649 / 0.071236
=1.7077

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((285488.019 + 91005.035) / 12811120.326) / ((238031.964 + 78271.798) / 12070885.583)
=0.029388 / 0.026204
=1.1215

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(50928.865 - 0 - -59249.597) / 12811120.326
=0.0086

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cathay Financial Holding Co has a M-score of -2.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cathay Financial Holding Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cathay Financial Holding Co (TPE:2882) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 296, Section 4, Renai Road, Da'an District, Taipei, TWN, 106
Cathay Financial Holding Co Ltd is a financial holding company that primarily serves the Taiwan market. The scope of its business is limited by the operation of law to the investment and management of financial services enterprises. The company is a hub for financial services primarily in insurance and banking, and secondarily in asset management. Cathay Financial Holding emphasizes cross-selling and information technology integration in its business model. most of its insurance business, which constitutes approximately half of the company's revenue mix, is related to life insurance. Its banking business, which makes up nearly the other half of its business, is mostly related to consumer and corporate banking.