Change Holdings (TSE:3962) Beneish M-Score: -2.31 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


TSE:3962 Change Holdings Inc TSE:3962
73 GF Score
Price 円937.00
GF Value 円1,861.20
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Change Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Change Holdings TSE:3962 -0.32% 73 Beneish M-Score is -2.31 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3962 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,861.20 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,634 Software companies, Change Holdings ranks worse than 64.05% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.31 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3962' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.54   Med: -1.52   Max: 2.46
Current: -2.31

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Change Holdings was 2.46. The lowest was -2.54. And the median was -1.52.


Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Change Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.88 -0.19 -2.54 -2.07 -2.31

Change Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.07 -2.07 -1.50 -2.81 -2.31

TSE:3962 vs IBM, ACN, FISV: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Change Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:3962
73GF Score
Change Holdings Inc TSE:3962
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Change Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0562+0.528 * 1.0225+0.404 * 1.0188+0.892 * 1.1388+0.115 * 0.9239
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.176+4.679 * -0.002992-0.327 * 0.9127
=-2.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円21,363 Mil.
Revenue was 11300 + 19261 + 12358 + 9908 = 円52,827 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4791 + 13015 + 6500 + 4526 = 円28,832 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円49,338 Mil.
Total Assets was 円105,605 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,666 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,647 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円17,766 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円24,728 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円22,298 Mil.
Net Income was 55 + 5321 + 1092 + 469 = 円6,937 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2710 + 2936 + 361 + 1246 = 円7,253 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円17,760 Mil.
Revenue was 11450 + 18425 + 8373 + 8139 = 円46,387 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5198 + 13522 + 3917 + 3251 = 円25,888 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円49,820 Mil.
Total Assets was 円104,861 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,799 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,387 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円13,265 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円23,411 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円27,748 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(21363 / 52827) / (17760 / 46387)
=0.404395 / 0.382866
=1.0562

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25888 / 46387) / (28832 / 52827)
=0.558087 / 0.545782
=1.0225

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (49338 + 2666) / 105605) / (1 - (49820 + 2799) / 104861)
=0.507561 / 0.498202
=1.0188

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=52827 / 46387
=1.1388

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2387 / (2387 + 2799)) / (2647 / (2647 + 2666))
=0.460278 / 0.498212
=0.9239

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(17766 / 52827) / (13265 / 46387)
=0.336305 / 0.285964
=1.176

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((22298 + 24728) / 105605) / ((27748 + 23411) / 104861)
=0.445301 / 0.487874
=0.9127

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6937 - 0 - 7253) / 105605
=-0.002992

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Change Holdings has a M-score of -2.31 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.31 mean?
Change Holdings (TSE:3962) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.31 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Change Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Change Holdings ranks #1687 out of 2634 companies in the Software industry, placing it in the top 64%.
Is Change Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Change Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.31. Based on the distribution chart, Change Holdings ranks #1687 out of 2634 companies in the Software industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Change Holdings has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Change Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to IBM and ACN?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Change Holdings ranks #1687 out of 2634 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Change Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Software company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Software industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Change Holdings and its competitors. Change Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.31. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Change Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Change Holdings (TSE:3962) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,861.20, compared to a current price of 円937.00 — trading 49.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.31. Change Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Change Holdings (TSE:3962), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.31 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Change Holdings (TSE:3962) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Change Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円937.00 is trading 49.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,861.20. GuruFocus considers Change Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3962:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.31
  • GF Value™: 円1,861.20 vs. price of 円937.00 (49.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3962 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Change Holdings Business Description

Address 3-17-1 Toranomon, 6th Floor, TOKYU REIT Toranomon Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-0001
Change Holdings Inc provides mobility, IoT (Internet of Things) data, security and IT human resources training services. It segments are: Public Tech and NEW-IT Transformation Business. The Public Tech segment covers local government support projects that aims to realize high value-added resident services by utilizing ICT technology to promote the improvement of local government business productivity. The NEW-IT Transformation Business segment promotes digital transformation through various algorithms such as AI, voice Internet, mobility, IoT, cloud, security, services utilizing basic technology, and training for digital human resources. It also provides digital transformation solutions by combining libraries based on customer needs to realize customer digital transformation.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3962

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円937.00
Price
円1,861.20
GF Value