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Change Holdings (TSE:3962) Beneish M-Score : -2.63 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Change Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3962' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.63   Med: -1.16   Max: 2.46
Current: -2.63

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Change Holdings was 2.46. The lowest was -2.63. And the median was -1.16.


Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Change Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 2.46 -1.13 -1.88 - -2.63

Change Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.06 -0.49 -1.93 -2.63

Competitive Comparison of Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Change Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Change Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7173+0.528 * 1.0046+0.404 * 1.3448+0.892 * 1.8487+0.115 * 0.6373
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9114+4.679 * -0.086706-0.327 * 2.083
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円13,699 Mil.
Revenue was 8216 + 14141 + 9538 + 5118 = 円37,013 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3369 + 9720 + 7237 + 2715 = 円23,041 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円56,089 Mil.
Total Assets was 円89,325 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,150 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,644 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円12,076 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円20,898 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円19,733 Mil.
Net Income was -2657 + 3851 + 2276 + 855 = 円4,325 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 6321 + 2477 + 927 + 2345 = 円12,070 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円10,331 Mil.
Revenue was 4502 + 9581 + 3175 + 2763 = 円20,021 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2215 + 7421 + 1539 + 1346 = 円12,521 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円36,694 Mil.
Total Assets was 円52,943 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,548 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円972 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円7,167 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円9,651 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,910 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(13699 / 37013) / (10331 / 20021)
=0.370113 / 0.516008
=0.7173

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12521 / 20021) / (23041 / 37013)
=0.625393 / 0.622511
=1.0046

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (56089 + 2150) / 89325) / (1 - (36694 + 2548) / 52943)
=0.34801 / 0.258788
=1.3448

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=37013 / 20021
=1.8487

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(972 / (972 + 2548)) / (1644 / (1644 + 2150))
=0.276136 / 0.433316
=0.6373

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(12076 / 37013) / (7167 / 20021)
=0.326264 / 0.357974
=0.9114

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((19733 + 20898) / 89325) / ((1910 + 9651) / 52943)
=0.454867 / 0.218367
=2.083

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4325 - 0 - 12070) / 89325
=-0.086706

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Change Holdings has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Change Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Change Holdings (TSE:3962) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3-17-1 Toranomon, 6th Floor, TOKYU REIT Toranomon Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-0001
Change Holdings Inc provides mobility, IoT (Internet of Things) data, security and IT human resources training services. It segments are: Public Tech and NEW-IT Transformation Business. The Public Tech segment covers local government support projects that aims to realize high value-added resident services by utilizing ICT technology to promote the improvement of local government business productivity. The NEW-IT Transformation Business segment promotes digital transformation through various algorithms such as AI, voice Internet, mobility, IoT, cloud, security, services utilizing basic technology, and training for digital human resources. It also provides digital transformation solutions by combining libraries based on customer needs to realize customer digital transformation.

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