Change Holdings (TSE:3962) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:3962 Change Holdings Inc TSE:3962
76 GF Score
Price 円1,010.00
GF Value 円1,770.98
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Change Holdings Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Change Holdings is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.


Change Holdings  (TSE:3962) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


Change Holdings Risk Assessment Related Terms


TSE:3962 vs IBM, ACN, FISV: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Change Holdings's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Change Holdings Risk Assessment vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Change Holdings's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Change Holdings's Risk Assessment falls into.


TSE:3962
76GF Score
Change Holdings Inc TSE:3962
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Change Holdings (TSE:3962) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Change Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,010.00 is trading 43% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,770.98. GuruFocus considers Change Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3962:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: 円1,770.98 vs. price of 円1,010.00 (43% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3962 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Change Holdings Business Description

Address 3-17-1 Toranomon, 6th Floor, TOKYU REIT Toranomon Building, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-0001
Change Holdings Inc provides mobility, IoT (Internet of Things) data, security and IT human resources training services. It segments are: Public Tech and NEW-IT Transformation Business. The Public Tech segment covers local government support projects that aims to realize high value-added resident services by utilizing ICT technology to promote the improvement of local government business productivity. The NEW-IT Transformation Business segment promotes digital transformation through various algorithms such as AI, voice Internet, mobility, IoT, cloud, security, services utilizing basic technology, and training for digital human resources. It also provides digital transformation solutions by combining libraries based on customer needs to realize customer digital transformation.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3962

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,010.00
Price
円1,770.98
GF Value