MTG Co (TSE:7806) Beneish M-Score: -2.21 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


TSE:7806 MTG Co Ltd TSE:7806
70 GF Score
Price 円7,260.00
GF Value 円3,494.71
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MTG Co Beneish M-Score?

MTG Co TSE:7806 -2.81% 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7806 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,494.71 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,849 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, MTG Co ranks worse than 71.23% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MTG Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7806' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.79   Med: -2.22   Max: -1.52
Current: -2.21

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MTG Co was -1.52. The lowest was -4.79. And the median was -2.22.


MTG Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MTG Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MTG Co Beneish M-Score Chart

MTG Co Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.89 -2.18 -2.30 -2.32 -2.21

MTG Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.21 0.00 0.00

TSE:7806 vs PG, CL, KVUE: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, MTG Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MTG Co Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, MTG Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MTG Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:7806
70GF Score
MTG Co Ltd TSE:7806
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MTG Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MTG Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0417+0.528 * 0.9558+0.404 * 1.0438+0.892 * 1.3749+0.115 * 1.0805
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9376+4.679 * 0.001343-0.327 * 1.3636
=-2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep25) TTM:Last Year (Sep24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円10,070 Mil.
Revenue was 円98,810 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円62,004 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円44,804 Mil.
Total Assets was 円75,199 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円20,195 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,409 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円51,338 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円19,728 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,714 Mil.
Net Income was 円7,934 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円7,833 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円7,031 Mil.
Revenue was 円71,865 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円43,101 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円38,182 Mil.
Total Assets was 円58,484 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円12,702 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,653 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円39,823 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円13,217 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円153 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10070 / 98810) / (7031 / 71865)
=0.101913 / 0.097836
=1.0417

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(43101 / 71865) / (62004 / 98810)
=0.59975 / 0.627507
=0.9558

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (44804 + 20195) / 75199) / (1 - (38182 + 12702) / 58484)
=0.13564 / 0.12995
=1.0438

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=98810 / 71865
=1.3749

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1653 / (1653 + 12702)) / (2409 / (2409 + 20195))
=0.115152 / 0.106574
=1.0805

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(51338 / 98810) / (39823 / 71865)
=0.519563 / 0.554136
=0.9376

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3714 + 19728) / 75199) / ((153 + 13217) / 58484)
=0.311733 / 0.22861
=1.3636

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7934 - 0 - 7833) / 75199
=0.001343

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MTG Co has a M-score of -2.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 mean?
MTG Co (TSE:7806) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.21 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MTG Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, MTG Co ranks #1317 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 71.2%.
Is MTG Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
MTG Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. Based on the distribution chart, MTG Co ranks #1317 out of 1849 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, MTG Co has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MTG Co's Beneish M-Score compare to PG and CL?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, MTG Co ranks #1317 out of 1849 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places MTG Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MTG Co and its competitors. MTG Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MTG Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MTG Co (TSE:7806) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,494.71, compared to a current price of 円7,260.00 — trading 107.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.21. MTG Co's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MTG Co (TSE:7806), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.21 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MTG Co (TSE:7806) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MTG Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円7,260.00 is trading 107.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,494.71. GuruFocus considers MTG Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7806:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.21
  • GF Value™: 円3,494.71 vs. price of 円7,260.00 (107.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7806 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MTG Co Business Description

Address 2-32 Honjin-dori, Nakamura-ku nagoya-shi Aichi, Nagoya, JPN, 453-0041
MTG Co Ltd is a Japan-based company engages in the manufacture of personal care products. The company is primarily engaged in the planning, development, manufacturing, and selling of beauty devices, cosmetics, and quasi-drug products. It is also involved in the development and manufacturing of fitness equipment. The company offers its products under the ReFa, SIXPAD, MDNA SKIN, kirala, ReFa Active, PLOSION, Style, PAO, INBEAUTE, Obleu, TAIKAN STREAM, CAXA UP, LIPLU, and Glamure.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7806

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円7,260.00
Price
円3,494.71
GF Value