Spin Master (TSX:TOY) Beneish M-Score: -3.25 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSX:TOY Spin Master Corp TSX:TOY
75 GF Score
Price C$18.28
GF Value C$33.66
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Spin Master Beneish M-Score?

Spin Master TSX:TOY +1.56% 75 Beneish M-Score is -3.25 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:TOY with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of C$33.66 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Spin Master ranks better than 87.62% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.25 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spin Master's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:TOY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.65   Max: -1.4
Current: -3.25

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Spin Master was -1.40. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.65.


Spin Master Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Spin Master's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Spin Master Beneish M-Score Chart

Spin Master Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.98 -2.49 -2.31 -2.43 -2.86

Spin Master Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.79 -2.93 -2.86 -3.25

TSX:TOY vs AS, HAS, LTH: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Leisure subindustry, Spin Master's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spin Master Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Spin Master's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spin Master's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:TOY
75GF Score
Spin Master Corp TSX:TOY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Spin Master Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Spin Master for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0127+0.528 * 0.9885+0.404 * 0.9699+0.892 * 0.8947+0.115 * 0.9795
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0791+4.679 * -0.136521-0.327 * 1.0328
=-3.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$511 Mil.
Revenue was 450.702 + 852.807 + 1016.384 + 547.677 = C$2,868 Mil.
Gross Profit was 237.63 + 454.269 + 568.716 + 287.028 = C$1,548 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$931 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,988 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$351 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$214 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$1,198 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$847 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$216 Mil.
Net Income was -43.904 + -254.242 + 147.747 + -63.556 = C$-214 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.174 + -306.249 + -3.32 + -33.623 = C$-337 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 140.63 + 268.037 + 86.601 + 35.673 = C$531 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$564 Mil.
Revenue was 515.811 + 924.773 + 1199.769 + 564.646 = C$3,205 Mil.
Gross Profit was 279.798 + 520.728 + 635.714 + 273.552 = C$1,710 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,116 Mil.
Total Assets was C$3,467 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$310 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$183 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$1,240 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,004 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$191 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(511.482 / 2867.57) / (564.478 / 3204.999)
=0.178368 / 0.176124
=1.0127

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1709.792 / 3204.999) / (1547.643 / 2867.57)
=0.533477 / 0.539705
=0.9885

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (931.039 + 350.958) / 2987.667) / (1 - (1115.748 + 310.377) / 3466.687)
=0.570904 / 0.58862
=0.9699

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2867.57 / 3204.999
=0.8947

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(183.142 / (183.142 + 310.377)) / (214.067 / (214.067 + 350.958))
=0.371094 / 0.378863
=0.9795

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1197.694 / 2867.57) / (1240.463 / 3204.999)
=0.417669 / 0.38704
=1.0791

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((216.364 + 846.798) / 2987.667) / ((190.648 + 1003.772) / 3466.687)
=0.35585 / 0.344542
=1.0328

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-213.955 - -337.018 - 530.941) / 2987.667
=-0.136521

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Spin Master has a M-score of -3.25 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.25 mean?
Spin Master (TSX:TOY) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.25 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Spin Master and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Spin Master ranks #102 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 12.4%.
Is Spin Master's Beneish M-Score too high?
Spin Master's current Beneish M-Score is -3.25. Based on the distribution chart, Spin Master ranks #102 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Spin Master has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Spin Master's Beneish M-Score compare to AS and HAS?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Spin Master ranks #102 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Spin Master in the top 12% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Spin Master and its competitors. Spin Master's current Beneish M-Score is -3.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Spin Master stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Spin Master (TSX:TOY) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$33.66, compared to a current price of C$18.28 — trading 45.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.25. Spin Master's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Spin Master (TSX:TOY), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.25 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Spin Master (TSX:TOY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Spin Master stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of C$18.28 is trading 45.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of C$33.66. GuruFocus considers Spin Master to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:TOY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.25
  • GF Value™: C$33.66 vs. price of C$18.28 (45.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:TOY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Spin Master Business Description

Other Exchanges SNMSF:USASP9:Germany
Address 225 King Street West, Suite 200, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5V 3M2
Spin Master is a children's entertainment company operating in the nearly $120 billion global toy industry. The company creates, designs, manufactures, and markets a portfolio of products, brands, and entertainment properties across four key categories (outdoor, wheels & action, infant, toddler, preschool & plush, and activities, games & puzzles, dolls, and interactive). Spin Master has increased brand awareness via homegrown brands including Paw Patrol, Hatchimals, and Bakugan but has leaned on a robust acquisition strategy to reach adjacent markets through tie-ups like Rubik's, Gund, and Melissa & Doug. The company has global reach, with 29 offices in nearly 20 countries and sales in over 100 markets.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:TOY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$18.28
Price
C$33.66
GF Value