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Orange (XBUL:FTE) Beneish M-Score : -2.45 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Orange Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.45 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orange's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBUL:FTE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.77   Max: -2.45
Current: -2.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orange was -2.45. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.77.


Orange Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Orange's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Orange Beneish M-Score Chart

Orange Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.85 -2.75 -2.70 -2.78 -2.45

Orange Quarterly Data
Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.45 - -

Competitive Comparison of Orange's Beneish M-Score

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Orange's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orange's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Orange's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orange's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Orange Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orange for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4353+0.528 * 1.0125+0.404 * 1.0003+0.892 * 1.0449+0.115 * 1.0088
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9961+4.679 * -0.082079-0.327 * 1.0378
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was лв18,690 Mil.
Revenue was лв89,781 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв50,464 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв51,364 Mil.
Total Assets was лв223,939 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв84,177 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв17,976 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв18,350 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв62,120 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв14,445 Mil.
Net Income was лв4,965 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв-1,182 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was лв24,528 Mil.
Total Receivables was лв12,463 Mil.
Revenue was лв85,927 Mil.
Gross Profit was лв48,900 Mil.
Total Current Assets was лв52,982 Mil.
Total Assets was лв216,739 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was лв78,228 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was лв16,884 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was лв17,632 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was лв57,765 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was лв13,641 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18690.033 / 89781.341) / (12462.734 / 85926.648)
=0.208173 / 0.145039
=1.4353

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48900.171 / 85926.648) / (50464.106 / 89781.341)
=0.569092 / 0.562078
=1.0125

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (51363.506 + 84177.384) / 223938.538) / (1 - (52981.939 + 78227.624) / 216738.906)
=0.394741 / 0.394619
=1.0003

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=89781.341 / 85926.648
=1.0449

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16884.485 / (16884.485 + 78227.624)) / (17975.803 / (17975.803 + 84177.384))
=0.177522 / 0.175969
=1.0088

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18350.214 / 89781.341) / (17631.656 / 85926.648)
=0.204388 / 0.205194
=0.9961

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((14445.35 + 62119.686) / 223938.538) / ((13640.813 + 57765.415) / 216738.906)
=0.341902 / 0.329457
=1.0378

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4965.017 - -1182.244 - 24527.997) / 223938.538
=-0.082079

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orange has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Orange Business Description

Address
111 Quai du President Roosevelt, Issy-les-Moulineaux, Paris, FRA, 92130
Orange is the incumbent telecom operator in France. The company operates fixed and wireless businesses in France, where it is the market leader ahead of Iliad, Bouygues, and SFR. Orange also has fixed and wireless (convergent) operations in Spain, Poland, Belgium, Luxembourg, and Central Europe (Romania, Slovakia, Moldova). Around 15% of revenue comes from emerging African markets, where the company only operates wireless networks, and 20% comes from the enterprise segment, which serves companies with more than 50 employees in France and internationally.

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