Castro Model (XTAE:CAST) Beneish M-Score: -3.21 (As of Jul. 20, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XTAE:CAST Castro Model Ltd XTAE:CAST
70 GF Score
Price ₪146.10
GF Value ₪89.31
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Castro Model Beneish M-Score?

Castro Model XTAE:CAST -2.73% 70 Beneish M-Score is -3.21 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates XTAE:CAST with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of ₪89.31 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,084 Retail - Cyclical companies, Castro Model ranks better than 86.53% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.21 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Castro Model's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XTAE:CAST' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.71   Med: -2.79   Max: -0.65
Current: -3.21

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Castro Model was -0.65. The lowest was -7.71. And the median was -2.79.


Castro Model Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Castro Model's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Castro Model Beneish M-Score Chart

Castro Model Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.80 -2.68 -2.60 -3.32

Castro Model Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.66 -2.84 -3.32 -3.21

XTAE:CAST vs TJX, ROST, BURL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Castro Model's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Castro Model Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Castro Model's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Castro Model's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XTAE:CAST
70GF Score
Castro Model Ltd XTAE:CAST
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Castro Model Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Castro Model for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7048+0.528 * 1.0117+0.404 * 0.8836+0.892 * 0.9829+0.115 * 1.0218
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0045+4.679 * -0.091396-0.327 * 0.9357
=-3.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₪106 Mil.
Revenue was 430.328 + 583.867 + 565.486 + 504.068 = ₪2,084 Mil.
Gross Profit was 225.946 + 326.861 + 322.531 + 302.305 = ₪1,178 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₪999 Mil.
Total Assets was ₪2,715 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₪1,493 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₪240 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₪123 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₪571 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₪1,166 Mil.
Net Income was -26.678 + 6.635 + 24.76 + 22.273 = ₪27 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₪0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -17.15 + 171.39 + 72.791 + 48.123 = ₪275 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₪152 Mil.
Revenue was 470.57 + 604.182 + 507.6 + 537.646 = ₪2,120 Mil.
Gross Profit was 254.537 + 341.335 + 286.328 + 329.927 = ₪1,212 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₪781 Mil.
Total Assets was ₪2,300 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₪1,306 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₪216 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₪124 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₪540 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₪1,033 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(105.603 / 2083.749) / (152.436 / 2119.998)
=0.050679 / 0.071904
=0.7048

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1212.127 / 2119.998) / (1177.643 / 2083.749)
=0.571759 / 0.565156
=1.0117

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (999.254 + 1493.336) / 2715.254) / (1 - (780.512 + 1306.414) / 2300.437)
=0.082005 / 0.092813
=0.8836

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2083.749 / 2119.998
=0.9829

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(215.506 / (215.506 + 1306.414)) / (240.239 / (240.239 + 1493.336))
=0.141601 / 0.13858
=1.0218

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(122.701 / 2083.749) / (124.283 / 2119.998)
=0.058885 / 0.058624
=1.0045

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1166.008 + 570.654) / 2715.254) / ((1032.702 + 539.776) / 2300.437)
=0.639595 / 0.683556
=0.9357

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(26.99 - 0 - 275.154) / 2715.254
=-0.091396

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Castro Model has a M-score of -3.21 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.21 mean?
Castro Model (XTAE:CAST) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.21 as of Jul. 20, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Castro Model and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Castro Model ranks #146 out of 1084 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 13.5%.
Is Castro Model's Beneish M-Score too high?
Castro Model's current Beneish M-Score is -3.21. Based on the distribution chart, Castro Model ranks #146 out of 1084 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Castro Model has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Castro Model's Beneish M-Score compare to TJX and ROST?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Castro Model ranks #146 out of 1084 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Castro Model in the top 14% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Castro Model and its competitors. Castro Model's current Beneish M-Score is -3.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Castro Model stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Castro Model (XTAE:CAST) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₪89.31, compared to a current price of ₪146.10 — trading 63.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.21. Castro Model's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Castro Model (XTAE:CAST), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.21 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Castro Model (XTAE:CAST) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Castro Model stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₪146.10 is trading 63.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₪89.31. GuruFocus considers Castro Model to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XTAE:CAST:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.21
  • GF Value™: ₪89.31 vs. price of ₪146.10 (63.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XTAE:CAST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Castro Model Business Description

Address 35 Ben Zvi Road, Tel Aviv, ISR, 68103
Castro Model Ltd designs, manufactures, and distributes fashion wear for men, women, girls, boys and baby in Israel. The company has three segments which include: the Red line for casual fashion, the Black line, a smart, sophisticated and elegant line and the Blue line, a line of jeans. It also offers complementary collections such as shoes and bags, glasses, lingerie, jewelry and even bicycles and other accessories. The company involves in the retail marketing of fashion products through branded stores operated by subsidiaries in Israel.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XTAE:CAST

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₪146.10
Price
₪89.31
GF Value