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Atlantic Grupa DD (ZAG:ATGR) Beneish M-Score : -2.70 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Atlantic Grupa DD Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.7 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ZAG:ATGR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.59   Max: -2.29
Current: -2.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Atlantic Grupa DD was -2.29. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.59.


Atlantic Grupa DD Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Atlantic Grupa DD Beneish M-Score Chart

Atlantic Grupa DD Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.69 -2.84 -2.43 -2.49

Atlantic Grupa DD Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 -2.49 -2.63 -2.55 -2.70

Competitive Comparison of Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Atlantic Grupa DD's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Atlantic Grupa DD Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Atlantic Grupa DD for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9399+0.528 * 0.9475+0.404 * 1.0557+0.892 * 1.1145+0.115 * 1.0464
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0424+4.679 * -0.053064-0.327 * 1.0485
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €251 Mil.
Revenue was 285.956 + 275.913 + 236.611 + 252.269 = €1,051 Mil.
Gross Profit was 106.609 + 105.299 + 90.69 + 89.473 = €392 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €450 Mil.
Total Assets was €987 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €276 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €44 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €49 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €329 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €157 Mil.
Net Income was 20.298 + 14.517 + 9.859 + -5.305 = €39 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 33.79 + -1.075 + 19.167 + 39.858 = €92 Mil.
Total Receivables was €240 Mil.
Revenue was 261.937 + 244.129 + 215.579 + 221.179 = €943 Mil.
Gross Profit was 93.88 + 90.949 + 79.152 + 69.356 = €333 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €449 Mil.
Total Assets was €902 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €227 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €38 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €42 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €273 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €150 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(251.194 / 1050.749) / (239.796 / 942.824)
=0.239062 / 0.254338
=0.9399

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(333.337 / 942.824) / (392.071 / 1050.749)
=0.353552 / 0.373135
=0.9475

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (449.811 + 275.705) / 986.943) / (1 - (448.755 + 226.797) / 901.83)
=0.264886 / 0.25091
=1.0557

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1050.749 / 942.824
=1.1145

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38.427 / (38.427 + 226.797)) / (44.308 / (44.308 + 275.705))
=0.144885 / 0.138457
=1.0464

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(48.943 / 1050.749) / (42.131 / 942.824)
=0.046579 / 0.044686
=1.0424

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((156.51 + 328.655) / 986.943) / ((150.046 + 272.776) / 901.83)
=0.491584 / 0.468849
=1.0485

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(39.369 - 0 - 91.74) / 986.943
=-0.053064

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Atlantic Grupa DD has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Atlantic Grupa DD Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Atlantic Grupa DD Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Miramarska 23, Zagreb, HRV, 10000
Atlantic Grupa DD is a Croatia based company engaged in the production and distribution of fast moving consumer goods. The company's strategic business unit products include coffee, beverages, Savoury Spreads, Snacks, Pharmacy, and Donat. It generates the majority of the revenue from the sales made in the coffee strategic business unit. The company sells its products in Croatia, and internationally of which the majority of the revenue is generated from sales made in Croatia and Serbia.

Atlantic Grupa DD Headlines

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