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MIMOQ (Airspan Networks Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Airspan Networks Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Airspan Networks Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Airspan Networks Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Airspan Networks Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
777 Yamato Road, Suite 310, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
Airspan Networks Holdings Inc is a designer and producer of wireless network equipment for 4G and 5G networks for both mainstream public telecommunications service providers and private network implementations. The business is organized around one reportable segment, the development and supply of broadband wireless products and technologies.
Executives
Dominique Trempont director 5 RANDALL PLACE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Michael Liebowitz director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, 10TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33137
Petersen Henrik Smith officer: Chief Sales&Marketing Officer C/O AIRSPAN NETWORKS INC, CAMBRIDGE HOUSE, UXBRIDGE X0 999999999
Glenn Laxdal officer: President & COO 777 YAMATO DRIVE, SUITE 310, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Uzi Shalev officer: COO BAREKET BUILDING, GOLAN STREET, AIRPORT CITY L3 00000
David Brandt officer: SVP & CFO CAMBRIDGE HOUSE,, OXFORD ROAD, UXBRIDGE MIDDLESEX, UK X0 UB8 1UN
Eric Stonestrom director, officer: President & CEO 137 KINGS RD, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Bandel L Carano director 525 UNIVERSITY AVENUE, SUITE 1300, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Divya Seshamani director 777 YAMATO DRIVE, SUITE 310, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Softbank Group Corp 10 percent owner 1-7-1 KAIGAN, MINATO-KU, TOKYO M0 105-7537
Mathew Oommen director 777 YAMATO ROAD STE 310, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Eli Leizerovitz officer: Head of Products 777 YAMATO ROAD STE 310, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Thomas S Huseby director 405 THATCHER PASS RD NW, ANA CORTES WA 98221
Oak Investment Partners Xi L P 10 percent owner 901 MAIN AVENUE, SUITE 600, NORWALK CT 06851
Oak Investment Partners Xiii, Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 901 MAIN AVENUE, SUITE 600, NORWALK CT 06851