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HDFC BankHDB +0.73%60 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 28.69% as of Mar. 2026, which is 27% above its 10-year median of 22.63. GuruFocus rates HDB with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $29.65 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,417 Banks companies, HDFC Bank ranks better than 79.89% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. HDFC Bank's forward rate of return for was 28.69%.
The historical rank and industry rank for HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
HDB'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 20.67 Med: 22.63 Max: 28.97
Current: 28.97
During the past 13 years, HDFC Bank's highest Forward Rate of Return was 28.97. The lowest was 20.67. And the median was 22.63.
HDB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 79.89% of 1417
companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 15.64
vs HDB: 28.97
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
HDFC Bank (NYSE:HDB) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
HDFC Bank Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
HDFC Bank Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
HDFC Bank Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
HDB vs USB: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Banks - Regional subindustry, HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
HDFC Bank Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Banks Industry
For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
HDFC Bank Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year Book Value Growth Rate
=
2.33383333
/
24.88
+
0.1984
=
29.22 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 28.69% mean?
HDFC Bank (HDB) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 28.69% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on HDFC Bank and its competitors. This is 27% above median its historical median of 22.63. Over the past decade, HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.67 to 28.97. According to the industry distribution chart, HDFC Bank ranks #285 out of 1417 companies in the Banks industry, placing it in the top 20.1%.
Is HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
HDFC Bank's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 28.69% is 27% above median its 10-year median of 22.63. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 20.67 to a high of 28.97. The Banks industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64. HDFC Bank's value of 28.69% is 83.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, HDFC Bank ranks #285 out of 1417 companies in the Banks industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, HDFC Bank has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HDFC Bank's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to USB?
According to the Banks industry distribution chart, HDFC Bank ranks #285 out of 1417 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places HDFC Bank in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64. HDFC Bank's value of 28.69% is 83.4% above this benchmark. Historically, HDFC Bank's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.67 to 28.97 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 22.63 vs. the industry median of 15.64, HDFC Bank has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Banks company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Banks companies is 15.64, based on 1,417 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. HDFC Bank's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 28.69% is 83.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on HDFC Bank and its competitors. For the Banks industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. HDFC Bank's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 28.69%, which is 27% above median its own 10-year median of 22.63. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HDFC Bank stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HDFC Bank (HDB) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $29.65, compared to a current price of $22.87 — trading 22.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 28.69%, which is 27% above median its 10-year median of 22.63 and 83.4% above the Banks industry median of 15.64. HDFC Bank's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HDFC Bank (HDB), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 28.69% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is HDFC Bank (HDB) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HDFC Bank stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $22.87 is trading 22.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $29.65.
GuruFocus considers HDFC Bank to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for HDB:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 28.69% (27% above median its 10-year median of 22.63)
GF Value™: $29.65 vs. price of $22.87 (22.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 83.4% above the Banks median (#285 of 1417)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HDB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
HDFC Bank Ltd is an Indian bank. It operates in the following segments: Treasury, Retail banking, Wholesale banking, and Other banking business. The maximum revenue for the company is generated from its Retail banking segment, which serves retail customers through its branch network and other channels. This segment raises customer deposits and provides loans and other services to customers using different product groups. Its other operations include providing wholesale banking services to corporates, government entities, and other enterprises, generating income from its treasury operations, and performing para-banking activities such as offering credit cards, debit cards, etc. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from its operations in India.
60GF Score
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