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Extra Space StorageMEX:EXR 93 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.85% as of Jun. 2026, which is 39% below its 10-year median of 17.67. GuruFocus rates MEX:EXR with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,606.22. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 620 REITs companies, Extra Space Storage ranks better than 57.42% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Extra Space Storage's forward rate of return for was 10.85%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:EXR'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.7 Med: 17.67 Max: 24.32
Current: 10.79
During the past 13 years, Extra Space Storage's highest Forward Rate of Return was 24.32. The lowest was 9.70. And the median was 17.67.
MEX:EXR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 57.42% of 620
companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.23
vs MEX:EXR: 10.79
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Extra Space Storage (MEX:EXR) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Extra Space Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Extra Space Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Extra Space Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
MEX:EXR vs EGP, CUBE, LINE: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Extra Space Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs REITs Industry
For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Extra Space Storage Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.85% mean?
Extra Space Storage (MEX:EXR) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.85% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Extra Space Storage and its competitors. This is 39% below median its historical median of 17.67. Over the past decade, Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 9.70 to 24.32. According to the industry distribution chart, Extra Space Storage ranks #264 out of 620 companies in the REITs industry, placing it in the top 42.6%.
Is Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Extra Space Storage's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.85% is 39% below median its 10-year median of 17.67. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 9.70 to a high of 24.32. The REITs industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.23. Extra Space Storage's value of 10.85% is 31.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Extra Space Storage ranks #264 out of 620 companies in the REITs industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Extra Space Storage has a GF Score™ of 93/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Extra Space Storage's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to EGP and CUBE?
According to the REITs industry distribution chart, Extra Space Storage ranks #264 out of 620 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Extra Space Storage in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.23. Extra Space Storage's value of 10.85% is 31.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Extra Space Storage's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 9.70 to 24.32 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 17.67 vs. the industry median of 8.23, Extra Space Storage has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a REITs company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among REITs companies is 8.23, based on 620 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Extra Space Storage's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.85% is 31.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Extra Space Storage and its competitors. For the REITs industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.23 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Extra Space Storage's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.85%, which is 39% below median its own 10-year median of 17.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Extra Space Storage stock overvalued right now?
Extra Space Storage (MEX:EXR) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 10.85%. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,606.22, compared to a current price of MXN2,608.00 — trading 0.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.85%, which is 39% below median its 10-year median of 17.67 and 31.8% above the REITs industry median of 8.23. Extra Space Storage's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Extra Space Storage (MEX:EXR), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.85% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Extra Space Storage (MEX:EXR) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Extra Space Storage stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN2,608.00 is trading 0.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,606.22.
Key valuation signals for MEX:EXR:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 10.85% (39% below median its 10-year median of 17.67)
GF Value™: MXN2,606.22 vs. price of MXN2,608.00 (0.1% above fair value)
Industry Position: 31.8% above the REITs median (#264 of 620)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:EXR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Extra Space Storage is a fully integrated real estate investment trust that owns, operates, and manages more than 4,200 self-storage properties in 43 states, with over 330 million net rentable square feet of storage space. Of these properties, approximately one half is wholly owned, while some facilities are owned through joint ventures and others are owned by third parties and managed by Extra Space Storage in exchange for a management fee.
93GF Score
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