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Fonterra Co-operative Group (NZSE:FCG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 34.59% (As of Jul. 2023)


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What is Fonterra Co-operative Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Fonterra Co-operative Group's forward rate of return for was 34.59%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

NZSE:FCG' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.6   Med: 4.92   Max: 39.16
Current: 33.33

During the past 13 years, Fonterra Co-operative Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 39.16. The lowest was -6.60. And the median was 4.92.

NZSE:FCG's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
95.01% of 1283 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 7.91 vs NZSE:FCG: 33.33

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Fonterra Co-operative Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fonterra Co-operative Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Fonterra Co-operative Group Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.14 7.16 18.00 16.66 34.59

Fonterra Co-operative Group Semi-Annual Data
Jan14 Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.00 - 16.66 - 34.59

Competitive Comparison of Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Fonterra Co-operative Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Fonterra Co-operative Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jul. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.38916667/2.66667+0.2
=34.59 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fonterra Co-operative Group  (NZSE:FCG) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Fonterra Co-operative Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

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Fonterra Co-operative Group (NZSE:FCG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
109 Fanshawe Street, Auckland Central, Auckland, NZL, 1010
Fonterra Co-operative Group Ltd operates predominantly in the international dairy industry. The company is involved in the collection, manufacture, and sale of milk and milk-derived products through its ingredients, Consumer and Foodservice channels. The company's reportable segments are Global Markets, Greater China, and Core Operations and the majority of the revenue is generated from its core operations segment. Its primary geographic markets are China, the Rest of Asia, Australia, New Zealand, the United States, Latin America, and the Rest of the world.

Fonterra Co-operative Group (NZSE:FCG) Headlines