Fable Media Group AB (XSAT:FABLE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 17.63% (As of Mar. 2026) — 136% Above Median

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XSAT:FABLE Fable Media Group AB XSAT:FABLE
53 GF Score
Price kr6.70
GF Value kr4.29
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Fable Media Group AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Fable Media Group AB XSAT:FABLE -1.76% 53 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.63% as of Mar. 2026, which is 136% above its 10-year median of 7.47. GuruFocus rates XSAT:FABLE with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of kr4.29 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 566 Travel & Leisure companies, Fable Media Group AB ranks worse than 57.24% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Fable Media Group AB's forward rate of return for was 17.63%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XSAT:FABLE' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -38.21   Med: 7.47   Max: 31.39
Current: 5.16

During the past 13 years, Fable Media Group AB's highest Forward Rate of Return was 31.39. The lowest was -38.21. And the median was 7.47.

XSAT:FABLE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
57.24% of 566 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 10.235 vs XSAT:FABLE: 5.16

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Fable Media Group AB  (XSAT:FABLE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Fable Media Group AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Fable Media Group AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Fable Media Group AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Fable Media Group AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -38.21 8.78 25.04

Fable Media Group AB Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.32 16.19 22.93 25.04 17.63

XSAT:FABLE vs FLUT, DKNG, SGHC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fable Media Group AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


XSAT:FABLE
53GF Score
Fable Media Group AB XSAT:FABLE
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Fable Media Group AB Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.11047619/4.8+-0.2634
=17.63 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.63% mean?
Fable Media Group AB (XSAT:FABLE) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.63% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Fable Media Group AB and its competitors. This is 136% above median its historical median of 7.47. According to the industry distribution chart, Fable Media Group AB ranks #324 out of 566 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 57.2%.
Is Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Fable Media Group AB's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.63% is 136% above median its 10-year median of 7.47. The Travel & Leisure industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.24. Fable Media Group AB's value of 17.63% is 72.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Fable Media Group AB ranks #324 out of 566 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Fable Media Group AB has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Fable Media Group AB's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to FLUT and DKNG?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Fable Media Group AB ranks #324 out of 566 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Fable Media Group AB in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.24. Fable Media Group AB's value of 17.63% is 72.3% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 7.47 vs. the industry median of 10.24, Fable Media Group AB has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Travel & Leisure companies is 10.24, based on 566 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Fable Media Group AB's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 17.63% is 72.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Fable Media Group AB and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.24 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Fable Media Group AB's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.63%, which is 136% above median its own 10-year median of 7.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Fable Media Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fable Media Group AB (XSAT:FABLE) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr4.29, compared to a current price of kr6.70 — trading 56.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.63%, which is 136% above median its 10-year median of 7.47 and 72.3% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 10.24. Fable Media Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Fable Media Group AB (XSAT:FABLE), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 17.63% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Fable Media Group AB (XSAT:FABLE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Fable Media Group AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr6.70 is trading 56.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr4.29. GuruFocus considers Fable Media Group AB to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSAT:FABLE:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 17.63% (136% above median its 10-year median of 7.47)
  • GF Value™: kr4.29 vs. price of kr6.70 (56.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 72.3% above the Travel & Leisure median (#324 of 566)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSAT:FABLE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Fable Media Group AB Business Description

Address Box 7066, Stockholm, SWE, 103 86
Fable Media Group AB invests in and develops services within lead generation, also known as affiliate marketing or performance-based marketing. The group is also engaged in promoting online sports betting operators.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSAT:FABLE

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr6.70
Price
kr4.29
GF Value