OBK (Origin Bancorp) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OBK Origin Bancorp Inc OBK
63 GF Score
Price $54.17
GF Value $38.62
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Origin Bancorp Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Origin Bancorp is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.


Origin Bancorp  (NYSE:OBK) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.


Origin Bancorp Risk Assessment Related Terms


OBK vs QCRH, LKFN, BFC: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Origin Bancorp's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Origin Bancorp Risk Assessment vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Origin Bancorp's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Origin Bancorp's Risk Assessment falls into.


OBK
63GF Score
Origin Bancorp Inc OBK
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Origin Bancorp (OBK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Origin Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $54.17 is trading 40.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $38.62. GuruFocus considers Origin Bancorp to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for OBK:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $38.62 vs. price of $54.17 (40.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OBK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Origin Bancorp Business Description

Address 500 South Service Road East, Ruston, LA, USA, 71270
Origin Bancorp Inc is a financial holding company that provides personalized, relationship banking to businesses, municipalities, and personal clients in the communities it serves. The company offers a broad range of financial services and operates more than 56 locations in Dallas/Fort Worth, East Texas, Houston, North Louisiana, Mississippi, South Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. It also provides insurance agency products and services through its wholly owned insurance agency subsidiary. The company operates in one business segment, community banking, and is mainly engaged in attracting deposits from individuals and businesses and using these deposits and borrowed funds to originate commercial, residential mortgage, construction, and consumer loans.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OBK

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$54.17
Price
$38.62
GF Value