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AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources) Altman Z2-Score : 8.14 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Alpha Metallurgical Resources Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a Altman Z2-Score of 8.14, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMR' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.5   Med: 2.97   Max: 10.48
Current: 8.14

During the past 9 years, Alpha Metallurgical Resources's highest Altman Z2-Score was 10.48. The lowest was -0.50. And the median was 2.97.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Altman Z2-Score Chart

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 1.11 -0.25 3.22 10.10 9.05

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.06 9.05 8.51 8.35 8.14

Competitive Comparison of Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Alpha Metallurgical Resources Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3179+3.26*0.8706+6.72*0.1672+1.05*1.9916
=8.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Sep. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,479 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,093 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $305 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,159 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -0.283 + 64.187 + 141.16 + 204.546 = $410 Mil.
Interest Expense was -1.041 + -1.101 + -1.086 + -1.601 = $-5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $829 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1092.964 - 304.634)/2479.419
=0.3179

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2158.596/2479.419
=0.8706

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(409.61 - -4.829)/2479.419
=0.1672

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1650.627 - 0)/828.792
=1.9916

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a Altman Z2-Score of 8.14 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources  (NYSE:AMR) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
340 Martin Luther King Jr. Boulevard, Bristol, TN, USA, 37620
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc is a Tennessee-based coal mining company with operations across Virginia and West Virginia. The company's portfolio of mining operations consists of underground mines, surface mines and coal preparation plants. It produces low-ash metallurgical coal, including High-Vol. A, Mid-Vol., High-Vol. B, and Low-Vol. coal, which is shipped to domestic and international coke and steel producers. The reportable segments of the company are Met. It extracts, processes and markets met and thermal coal from deep and surface mines for sale to steel and coke producers, industrial customers, and electric utilities.
Executives
Roger Lee Nicholson officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Michael Gorzynski director, other: See Remarks 595 MADISON AVE, FLOOR 29, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kenneth S. Courtis director 1101 1 MAY TOWER, 7 MAY ROAD, MID-LEVELS K3 #######
Jason E. Whitehead officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
David J. Stetson director C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Daniel D Smith director C/O NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORP, THREE COMMERCIAL PL, NORFOLK VA 23510-9219
Charles Andrew Eidson officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE ALPHA PLACE, P.O. BOX 16429, BRISTOL VA 24209
Daniel E. Horn officer: Executive Vice President-Sales C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Baker De Neufville Joanna director 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR BLVD, BRISTOL TN 37620
Mg Capital Management Ltd. other: See Remarks C/O CAMPBELLS LLP, FLOOR 4, WILLOW HOUSE, CRICKET SQUARE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9010
Percy Rockdale Llc other: See Remarks 595 MADISON AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Continental Insurance Group, Ltd. other: See Remarks 11001 LAKELINE BLVD., STE. 120, AUSTIN TX 78717
Continental General Insurance Co other: See Remarks 11001 LAKELINE BLVD., STE. 120, AUSTIN TX 78717
Joshua Todd Munsey officer: Chief Financial Officer 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING BOULEVARD, BRISTOL TN 37620
Elizabeth Anne Fessenden director 1137 WEST AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23220