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The GEO Group (The GEO Group) Altman Z2-Score : 1.46 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is The GEO Group Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

The GEO Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.46, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that The GEO Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GEO' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.61   Med: 1.33   Max: 1.59
Current: 1.46

During the past 13 years, The GEO Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.59. The lowest was 0.61. And the median was 1.33.


The GEO Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The GEO Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.95 0.93 1.46 1.38 1.46

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.38 1.44 1.48 1.48 1.46

Competitive Comparison of The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



The GEO Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0246+3.26*0.0279+6.72*0.0964+1.05*0.5369
=1.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,696 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $529 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $437 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $103 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 29.111 + 30.315 + 39.188 + 39.434 = $138 Mil.
Interest Expense was -53.211 + -55.777 + -55.046 + -54.258 = $-218 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,406 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(528.505 - 437.464)/3696.406
=0.0246

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=103.089/3696.406
=0.0279

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(138.048 - -218.292)/3696.406
=0.0964

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1291.768 - 0)/2406.092
=0.5369

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

The GEO Group has a Altman Z2-Score of 1.46 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


The GEO Group  (NYSE:GEO) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The GEO Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The GEO Group's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The GEO Group (The GEO Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community-reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which primarily encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services.
Executives
Shayn P. March officer: VP of Finance and Treasurer C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Scott Michael Kernan director C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
James H. Black officer: SVP & Pres, Secure Services 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Christopher D. Ryan officer: Senior VP, Human Resources 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Lindsay L. Koren director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Matthew Albence officer: Senior VP, Client Relations 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Andrew N Shapiro director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Thomas C. Bartzokis director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Terry P. Mayotte director C/O TREAN INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 150 LAKE STREET WEST, WAYZATA MN 55391
Jack Brewer director 6200 EXCELSIOR BLVD., SUITE 104, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
George C Zoley director, officer: Chairman & CEO C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Anne N Foreman director C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Richard H Glanton director C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Duane Helkowski director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Blake Davis officer: Pres. GEO Secure Services 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431