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China Ecotourism Group (HKSE:01371) Altman Z-Score : -6.45 (As of Jun. 19, 2024)


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What is China Ecotourism Group Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -6.45 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

China Ecotourism Group has a Altman Z-Score of -6.45, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01371' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.45   Med: 1.12   Max: 2.99
Current: -6.45

During the past 13 years, China Ecotourism Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.99. The lowest was -6.45. And the median was 1.12.


China Ecotourism Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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China Ecotourism Group Altman Z-Score Chart

China Ecotourism Group Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.12 0.39 -2.85 -5.74 -6.11

China Ecotourism Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -5.74 - -6.11 - -

Competitive Comparison of China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score

For the Gambling subindustry, China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.



China Ecotourism Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

China Ecotourism Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.4159+1.4*-3.5087+3.3*-0.3975+0.6*0.0914+1.0*0.2179
=-6.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2021:
Total Assets was HK$573.21 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$192.04 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$430.44 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-2,011.22 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-285.38 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-57.52 Mil.
Revenue was HK$124.92 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$43.24 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$472.98 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(192.041 - 430.442)/573.206
=-0.4159

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2011.224/573.206
=-3.5087

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-285.382 - -57.521)/573.206
=-0.3975

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=43.238/472.978
=0.0914

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=124.92/573.206
=0.2179

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

China Ecotourism Group has a Altman Z-Score of -6.45 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


China Ecotourism Group  (HKSE:01371) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Ecotourism Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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China Ecotourism Group (HKSE:01371) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
39 Yip Kan Street, Unit 1801, 18th Floor, Landmark South, Wong Chuk Hang, Hong Kong, HKG
China Ecotourism Group Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the firm is engaged in the business of the provision of technology and services for lottery systems, terminal equipment, and gaming products and their operations in China's lottery market. It offers various lottery products ranging from video lottery, computer ticket games, and KENO-type lottery. The segments of the group are Lottery systems, terminal equipment, and related products, which is the key revenue-generating segment; and Natural and health food. It has a business presence in the PRC, Hong Kong, and Others of which a majority of revenue is derived from the PRC.
Executives
China Carbon Neutral Development Group Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Lau Ting
Cao Junsheng 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Mao Yuan Capital Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Shing 2202 Interest of your spouse
Favor King Limited

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