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Tosei Reit Investment (TSE:3451) Altman Z-Score : 0.93 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Tosei Reit Investment Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.94 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Tosei Reit Investment has a Altman Z-Score of 0.93, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3451' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.74   Med: 0.9   Max: 0.99
Current: 0.94

During the past 9 years, Tosei Reit Investment's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.99. The lowest was 0.74. And the median was 0.90.


Tosei Reit Investment Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Tosei Reit Investment Altman Z-Score Chart

Tosei Reit Investment Annual Data
Trend Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.99 0.78 0.90 0.90 0.90

Tosei Reit Investment Semi-Annual Data
Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.90 - 0.90 - 0.90

Competitive Comparison of Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Tosei Reit Investment Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Tosei Reit Investment's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0178+1.4*0.017+3.3*0.0357+0.6*1.1484+1.0*0.0809
=0.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2023:
Total Assets was 円86,611 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円8,690 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円7,147 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円1,472 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 円2,685 Mil.
Interest Expense was 円-411 Mil.
Revenue was 円7,004 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円52,064 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円45,337 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(8690.009 - 7147.299)/86611.475
=0.0178

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1471.882/86611.475
=0.017

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(2684.668 - -411.066)/86611.475
=0.0357

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=52063.727/45337.138
=1.1484

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7003.759/86611.475
=0.0809

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Tosei Reit Investment has a Altman Z-Score of 0.93 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Tosei Reit Investment  (TSE:3451) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Tosei Reit Investment Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Tosei Reit Investment (TSE:3451) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Toranomon Tosei Building, 4-2-3 Toranomon, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN
Tosei Reit Investment Corp is a Japanese company operating in the real estate industry. The company invests in real estate and other assets and the investments are spread across Offices, Commercial facility and Housing.

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