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First Guaranty Bancshares (First Guaranty Bancshares) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.52 (As of Dec23)


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What is First Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, First Guaranty Bancshares's earnings power value is $2.52. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -311.04

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


First Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

First Guaranty Bancshares Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.49 34.65 35.27 -0.68 2.52

First Guaranty Bancshares Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.68 7.25 -2.91 -9.86 2.52

Competitive Comparison of First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



First Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

First Guaranty Bancshares's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 93.45
DDA 3.95
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 9.17
Tax Rate % 20.87
Maintenance Capex 6.62
Cash and Cash Equivalents 369.60
Short-Term Debt 60.00
Long-Term Debt 209.10
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 12.48

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $93.45 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 9.17,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 93.45 * 0.00% +9.17 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.87%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 20.87% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 3.95 * 0.5 * 20.87% = $0.41209139 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.41209139 = $0.41209139 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
First Guaranty Bancshares's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $6.62 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. First Guaranty Bancshares's current cash and cash equivalent = $369.60 Mil.
First Guaranty Bancshares's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 209.10 + 60.00 = $269.099 Mil.
First Guaranty Bancshares's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 12.48 Mil.

First Guaranty Bancshares's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.41209139 - 6.62)/ 9%+369.60-269.099 )/12.48
=2.52

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.5240626942774-10.375 )/2.5240626942774
= -311.04%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


First Guaranty Bancshares  (NAS:FGBI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


First Guaranty Bancshares Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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First Guaranty Bancshares (First Guaranty Bancshares) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 East Thomas Street, Hammond, LA, USA, 70401
First Guaranty Bancshares Inc provides personalized commercial banking services to its customers in Louisiana, through several banking facilities in the Market Services Areas. Its principal business activity includes attracting deposits and investing it together with funds generated from operations and borrowings insecurities and in lending activities to serve the credit needs of its customer base. The company offers commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, construction and land development loans, agricultural and farmland loans, and to a lesser extent, consumer and multifamily loans.
Executives
Vanessa R Drew director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Amanda Wood Barnett officer: General Counsel 1412 CENTRE COURT DRIVE, SUITE 101, ALEXANDRIA LA 71301
Smith Edgar R. Iii director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
William K Hood director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Marshall T Reynolds director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board 2450 FIRST AVENUE, HUNTINGTON WV 25704
Smith & Hood Holding Company, Llc 10 percent owner 11239 HIGHWAY 16, AMITE LA 70422
Eric Dosch officer: SVP and CFO 2450 FIRST AVENUE, HUNTINGTON WV 25703
Jack Rossi director 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Lewis Alton B Jr officer: Chief Executive Officer 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Glenda Baskin Glover director 911 E. WINDING CREEK DRIVE, SUITE 150, EAGLE ID 83616
Smith & Hood Investments, Llc 10 percent owner P.O. BOX 367, AMITE LA 70422
Gary A Simanson director 717 KING STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Michael R. Sharp officer: President and CLO 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Michele E. Lobianco officer: Chief Financial Officer 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401
Loy F. Weaver officer: Executive Vice President 400 EAST THOMAS STREET, HAMMOND LA 70401