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Federal Home Loan Mortgage (Federal Home Loan Mortgage) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-990.80 (As of Dec23)


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What is Federal Home Loan Mortgage Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Federal Home Loan Mortgage's earnings power value is $-990.80. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Federal Home Loan Mortgage Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Mortgage Finance subindustry, Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Federal Home Loan Mortgage Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Federal Home Loan Mortgage's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 19,062
DDA 0
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 421
Tax Rate % 20.11
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 9,931
Short-Term Debt 5,976
Long-Term Debt 3,208,191
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 3,234

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $19,062 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 421,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 19,062 * 0.00% +421 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.11%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 20.11% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0 * 0.5 * 20.11% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Federal Home Loan Mortgage's current cash and cash equivalent = $9,931 Mil.
Federal Home Loan Mortgage's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3,208,191 + 5,976 = $3214167 Mil.
Federal Home Loan Mortgage's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 3,234 Mil.

Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0)/ 9%+9,931-3214167 )/3,234
=-990.80

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -990.79653679654-1.38 )/-990.79653679654
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Federal Home Loan Mortgage  (OTCPK:FMCC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Federal Home Loan Mortgage Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Federal Home Loan Mortgage's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Federal Home Loan Mortgage (Federal Home Loan Mortgage) Business Description

Address
8200 Jones Branch Drive, McLean, VA, USA, 22102-3110
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp is a US based government-sponsored enterprise. The company invests in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities. It operates in the following segments: Single-family, Multifamily. The company is engaged in originating, purchase, and guarantee single-family loans originated by its seller. It provides a guarantee and security for the payment of principal and interest on the mortgage-related securities in exchange for management and guarantee fees. The company purchases multifamily loans for aggregation and then securitization through the issuance of multifamily K Certificates as well as issues and guarantees other securitization products. Majority of the revenue is earned from single family.
Executives
Sonu Mittal officer: SVP-Single-Family Acquisitions 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Ravi Shankar officer: SVP- SF Portfolio & Servicing 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Kevin Palmer officer: SVP-Multifamily 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Heidi Mason officer: EVP & General Counsel 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Kevin Gerald Chavers director C/O CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Luke S Hayden director 3000 LEADENHALL ROAD, MOUNT LAUREL NJ 08054
Alberto G. Musalem director 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Michael J Devito officer: Chief Executive Officer 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
John Glessner officer: SVP-Investments & Capital Mkts 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Allan P Merrill director BEAZER HOMES, 1000 ABERNATHY RD, SUITE 1200, ATLANTA GA 30328
Paul T. Schumacher director 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Christian M. Lown officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 123 S. JUSTISON STREET, WILMINGTON DE 19801
Mark B Grier director C/O PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC, 751 BROAD ST. 4TH FL., NEWARK NJ 01702
Mark H. Bloom director 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Donna M Corley officer: SVP&Int Head of Single Family 8200 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102