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BMTM (Bright Mountain Media) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.50% (As of Mar. 15, 2025)


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What is Bright Mountain Media Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bright Mountain Media's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.50%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Bright Mountain Media's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Bright Mountain Media's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bright Mountain Media's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Bright Mountain Media's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bright Mountain Media's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Bright Mountain Media Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.30

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.50%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Bright Mountain Media  (OTCPK:BMTM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Bright Mountain Media Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Bright Mountain Media Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6400 Congress Avenue, Suite 2050, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33487
Bright Mountain Media Inc is a holding company that focuses on digital publishing and advertising technology. The Company is engaged in content creation and advertising technology development that helps customers connect with, and market to, targeted audiences in high-quality environments using a variety of digital ad formats. It generates revenue through sales of advertising services which generate revenue from advertisements placed on the Company's owned and managed sites, as well as from advertisements placed on partner websites, for which the company earns a share of the revenue.
Executives
Ethan Rudin officer: Chief Financial Officer 1095 BROKEN SOUND PARKWAY, SUITE 300, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Pamela J. Parizek director C/O BRIGHT MOUNTAIN MEDIA, INC., 6400 CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 6400, BOCA RATON FL 33487
W Kip Speyer director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, PRESIDENT, CHAIRMAN 10361 PARKSTONE WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33498
Charles Pearlman director 1 EAST BROWARD BLVD., FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Dennis W Healey director, officer: CFO, Secretary 14044 ICOT BOULEVARD, CLEARWATER FL 33760
Randolph A Pohlman director 102 S WYNSTONE PARK DR, N BARRINGTON IL 60010
Charles Howard Lichtman director 1098 MARBLE WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33432
Richard M. Rogers director 3707 AMELIA ISLAND LANE, DAVIE FL 33328
Jonathan Thielmann director 126 E. LEE RD., DELRAY BEACH FL 33445
Annette Casacci officer: Chief Financial Officer 3774 PEBBLEBROOK MANOR, COCONUT CREEK FL 33073
Todd Speyer director, officer: Dir. Bus. Dvlpmt/Website Mgr. 9060 CHRYSANTHEMUM DRIVE, BOYNTON BEACH FL 33437
Todd F. Davenport director 48 SALEM ST., SALEM MA 01810
Andrew Handwerker 10 percent owner 4399 PINE TREE DRIVE, BOYNTON BEACH FL 33436

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