GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Crawford & Co (NYSE:CRD.A) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

CRD.A (Crawford) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1992. Start your Free Trial

What is Crawford Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance Brokers subindustry, Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Crawford Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Crawford  (NYSE:CRD.A) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Crawford Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Crawford's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Crawford Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5335 Triangle Parkway, Peachtree Corners, GA, USA, 30092
Crawford & Co provides claims and outsourcing solutions to the risk management, insurance industry, and self-insured entities. Its segments include North America Loss Adjusting; International Operations; Broadspire and Platform Solutions. The company generates maximum revenue from the International Operations segment. International Operations segment provides claims management and adjusting services to insurance carriers and self-insured entities related to property and casualty insurance claims.
Executives
Fred Robert Donner director GLOBAL INDEMNITY GROUP, LLC, 112 S. FRENCH STREET, SUITE 105, WILMINGTON DE 19801
Cameron M Bready director 3550 LENOX RD, ATLANTA GA 30326
Nidhi Verma officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Michael D Jones officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Van Bakel Patrick J officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Michael J Hoberman officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Andrew John Bart officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Tami E. Stevenson officer: SVP-GC & Corp Secretary 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Benedict V Burke officer: Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Inga K Beale director C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Lisa G Hannusch director C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Michelle Jarrard director C/O LAZARD LTD, 30 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10112
Greta G Van officer: Senior Vice President C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092
Rohit Verma officer: EVP-Chief Operating Officer C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 1001 SUMMIT BLVD, ATLANTA GA 30319
Rahul Patel director C/O CRAWFORD & COMPANY, 5335 TRIANGLE PARKWAY, PEACHTREE CORNERS GA 30092

Crawford Headlines

From GuruFocus

Q1 2022 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Q2 2022 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Q3 2020 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Q2 2020 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Q4 2022 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Crawford & Co (CRD.A) Shares Up 2.87% on Oct 9

By GuruFocus News 10-09-2024

Q3 2021 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Q1 2021 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024

Q3 2022 Crawford & Co Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-10-2024