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Equifax (NYSE:EFX) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Equifax's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Equifax's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Equifax Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Equifax's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Equifax's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Equifax Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Equifax  (NYSE:EFX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Equifax Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Equifax's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Equifax (NYSE:EFX) Business Description

Equifax logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Equifax Inc (NYSE:EFX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1550 Peachtree Street N.W., Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309
Along with Experian and TransUnion, Equifax is one of the leading credit bureaus in the United States. Equifax's credit reports provide credit histories on millions of consumers, and the firm's services are critical to lenders' credit decisions. In addition, about a third of the firm's revenue comes from workforce solutions, which provides income verification and employer human resources services. Equifax generates over 20% of its revenue from outside the United States.
Executives
Lisa M Nelson officer: President-International EQUIFAX INC., 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Audrey B Tillman director 1932 WYNNTON RD, COLUMBUS GA 31999
Melissa D Goodwin director C/O WRIGHT EXPRESS CORPORATION, 97 DARLING AVENUE, SOUTH PORTLAND ME 04106
Sunil Bindal officer: SVP, Corp Development EQUIFAX INC., 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Lindsay B Parker officer: Chief Marketing Officer EQUIFAX INC, 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Beverly J Anderson officer: Pres-Global Consumer Solutions 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Robert W Selander director MASTERCARD INTERNATIONAL, 2000 PURCHASE STREET, PURCHASE NY 10577
Robert D Marcus director C/O TIME WARNER CABLE INC., 60 COLUMBUS CIRCLE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10023
John A Mckinley director C/O EQUIFAX INC, 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Elane B Stock director 351 PHELPS DRIVE, IRVING TX 75038
Carla Chaney officer: CVP & Chief HR Officer 5302 LAKE VIEW CLUB, DUNWOODY GA 30338
G. Thomas Hough director P.O. BOX 407, LAKELAND FL 33802
Heather H Wilson director 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Sid Singh officer: President - USIS 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
James M Griggs officer: SVP & Corp Controller 1550 PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309

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