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FHI (Federated Hermes) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Federated Hermes Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Federated Hermes's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Federated Hermes's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Federated Hermes's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Federated Hermes's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Federated Hermes's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Federated Hermes's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Federated Hermes Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.03

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Federated Hermes  (NYSE:FHI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Federated Hermes Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Federated Hermes Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1001 Liberty Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15222-3779
Federated Hermes provides asset-management services for institutional and individual investors. The firm had $800 billion in managed assets at the end of September 2024, composed of equity (10%), multi-asset (less than 1%), fixed-income (12%), alternative (3%), and money market (74%) funds. The firm's cash-management operations are expected to generate around 51% of Federated's revenue this year, compared with 29%, 12%, and 7%, respectively, for the equity, fixed-income, and alternatives/multi-asset operations. The company's products are distributed via trust banks, wealth managers, and retail broker/dealers (65% of AUM), institutional investors (26%), and international clients (9%).
Executives
John B Fisher director, officer: Pres Inst Sales Div. FSC 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Dolores D Dudiak officer: Vice President 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Saker Anwar Nusseibeh officer: CEO, Hermes Fund Managers Ltd. HERMES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 150 CHEAPSIDE, 6TH FLOOR, LONDON X0 EC2V6ET
Richard A Novak officer: Principal Accounting Officer FEDERATED INVESTORS INC., FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Paul A Uhlman officer: Vice President 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Peter J Germain officer: EVP, Chief Legal Officer & GC C/O FEDERATED INVESTORS, 1001 LIBERTY AVE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Meter Stephen Van officer: VP, Chief Compliance Officer FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Gordon J Ceresino officer: Exec. Director, Int'l Dist. FEDERATED MDT ADVISER, 125 HIGH STREET, OLIVER STREET TOWER, 21ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
J Christopher Donahue director, officer: President and CEO 5800 CORPORATE DRIVE, PITTSBURGH PA 15237-7000
Michael J Farrell director 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Thomas R Donahue director, officer: VP, CFO, Treasurer 5800 CORPORATE DRIVE, PITTSBURGH PA 15237-7000
Marie Milie Jones director FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Eugene F Maloney director, officer: Vice President FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, 1001 LIBERTY AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779
Joseph C Bartolacci director
Thomas E Territ officer: Vice President FEDERATED INVESTORS, INC., FEDERATED INVESTORS TOWER, PITTSBURGH PA 15222-3779