Haidilao International Holding (Haidilao International Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of May. 14, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is Haidilao International Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Haidilao International Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-9.03

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Haidilao International Holding (OTCPK:HDALF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Haidilao International Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Haidilao International Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Haidilao International Holding (Haidilao International Holding) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Haidilao International Holding Ltd (OTCPK:HDALF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

06862:Hong Kong 8HI:Germany

Address

No. 398 Yard, Zhongdong Road, 7th Floor, No. 1 Building, Dongxiaokou Town, Changping District, Beijing, CHN, 102218

Website

https://www.haidilao.com

Haidilao International is a Chinese hot pot restaurant operator that started in Sichuan in 1998. In 2022, the restaurant chain served over 276 million customers across more than the 1,300 stores it had in Greater China. With CNY 31 billion in 2022 systemwide sales, the firm is the second-largest restaurant company in China, behind Yum China (CNY 68 billion) but ahead of Xiabuxiabu and Jiumaojiu. All of Haidilao's restaurants are company-owned, as the firm is focusing more on the quality of its restaurants than quantity.Haidilao is known for serving Sichuan-style hot pot along with exceptional service. It's still looking to expand its store footprint, but expansion opportunities are now limited to only Greater China following the spinoff of Super Hi—the operator of Haidilao stores overseas.