>
Switch to:

Ameriprise Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2005. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ameriprise Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Ameriprise Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Ameriprise Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Ameriprise Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ameriprise Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ameriprise Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.43

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Short-term investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ameriprise Financial  (NYSE:AMP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ameriprise Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ameriprise Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ameriprise Financial Business Description

Ameriprise Financial logo
Industry
Financial Services » Asset Management NAICS : 523930 SIC : 6282
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1099 Ameriprise Financial Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55474
Spun off from American Express in 2005, Ameriprise Financial has emerged as a major player in the U.S. market for asset and wealth management, with around $1.1 trillion in total assets under management and advisement at the end of 2020. Ameriprise has one of the largest branded advisor networks in the industry, and over 70% of the company's revenue comes from its asset and wealth management segments. Ameriprise has reduced its exposure to insurance with the sale of its auto and home insurance business in 2019 and discontinuing the sale of its proprietary fixed annuities in 2020. Around 90% of the company's pretax earnings are from the United States.
Executives
Smyth Gerard P. officer: EVP Technology and CIO 1099 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Woerner John Robert officer: Pres Ins & Chief Strat Officer AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 707 SECOND AVENUE SOUTH MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Williams Christopher J director 650 FIFTH AVE 10TH FL NEW YORK NY 10019
Truscott William F officer: CEO, Global Asset Management AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 50591 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Sweeney Joseph Edward officer: Pres-AWM Products & Services AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 707 SECOND AVENUE SOUTH MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Moore Colin officer: EVP & Global CIO C/O PUTNAM LLC ONE POST OFFICE SQ BOSTON MA 02109
Sharpe Robert Francis Jr director AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL, INC. 50591 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Greenberg Lon R director 460 NORTH GULPH ROAD KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Noddle Jeffrey director 11840 VALLEY VIEW ROAD EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Walter W Edward director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: WALTER W EDWARD a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Neal Blixt Dianne director 714 GREEN VALLEY ROAD GREENSBORO NC 27408
Digeso Amy director C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC. 767 FIFTH AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10153
Shea Brian T director ONE PERSHING PLAZA 95 CHRISTOPHER COLUMBUS DRIVE JERSEY CITY NJ 07399
Hutt John R. officer: Sr Vice Pres and Controller 1099 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474
Thissen Karen Wilson officer: Executive VP and GC 1098 AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL CENTER MINNEAPOLIS MN 55474

Ameriprise Financial Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)