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HG Holdings (HG Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Jul. 12, 2024)


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What is HG Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



HG Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.20

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


HG Holdings  (OTCPK:STLY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


HG Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of HG Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


HG Holdings (HG Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2115 East 7th Street, Suite 101, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28204
HG Holdings, Inc, together with its consolidated subsidiaries, operates through its wholly owned subsidiarie. The Company engages in the business of providing title insurance through the subsidiary NCTIC and providing title agency services through the subsidiaries NCTG, TAV, and Omega. Through NCTIC, the Company underwrites land title insurance for owners and mortgagees as the primary insurer. The Company currently only provides title insurance services in the state of Florida.
Executives
Peter Mark Sherman director 4409 MICKLETON ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28226
Justin Hayles Edenfield officer: Prin. Accting & Fin. Officer 6265 OLD WATER OAK ROAD, SUITE 204, TALLAHASSEE FL 32312
Hale Partnership Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 5960 FAIRVIEW ROAD, SUITE 432, CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Solas Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 1063 POST ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Hale Partnership Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 3335 PARK SOUTH STATION BLVD., CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Matthew Hultquist director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Bradley G Garner officer: CFO and CAO 2115 E. 7TH STREET, SUITE 101, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Hale Steven A Ii director, 10 percent owner 5960 FAIRVIEW ROAD, SUITE 432, CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Matthew Wood Smith officer: Interim Chief Exec. Officer 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Jeffrey Stuart Gilliam director 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Tucker Golden Frederick 10 percent owner C/O SOLAS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 1063 POST ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Michael P Haley director 200 NORTH HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Talanta Investment Group, Llc director, 10 percent owner 401 N. TRYON STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Justyn Rendal Putnam director 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Ian Dundee Lapey director 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260

HG Holdings (HG Holdings) Headlines

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