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HG Holdings (HG Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $4.27 (As of Mar24)


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What is HG Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, HG Holdings's earnings power value is $4.27. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -35.84

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


HG Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HG Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

HG Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 4.89 5.53

HG Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.66 5.88 5.83 5.53 5.84

Competitive Comparison of HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Insurance - Specialty subindustry, HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



HG Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

HG Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 7.03
DDA 0.07
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1.59
Tax Rate % 8.59
Maintenance Capex 0.06
Cash and Cash Equivalents 13.41
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.50
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2.86

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $7.03 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.59,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 7.03 * 0.00% +1.59 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 8.59%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 8.59% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.07 * 0.5 * 8.59% = $0.002998259 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.002998259 = $0.002998259 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
HG Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.06 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. HG Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $13.41 Mil.
HG Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.50 + 0.00 = $0.5 Mil.
HG Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2.86 Mil.

HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.002998259 - 0.06)/ 9%+13.41-0.5 )/2.86
=4.27

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 4.2698511491575-5.80 )/4.2698511491575
= -35.84%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


HG Holdings  (OTCPK:STLY) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


HG Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of HG Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


HG Holdings (HG Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2115 East 7th Street, Suite 101, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28204
HG Holdings, Inc, together with its consolidated subsidiaries, operates through its wholly owned subsidiarie. The Company engages in the business of providing title insurance through the subsidiary NCTIC and providing title agency services through the subsidiaries NCTG, TAV, and Omega. Through NCTIC, the Company underwrites land title insurance for owners and mortgagees as the primary insurer. The Company currently only provides title insurance services in the state of Florida.
Executives
Peter Mark Sherman director 4409 MICKLETON ROAD, CHARLOTTE NC 28226
Justin Hayles Edenfield officer: Prin. Accting & Fin. Officer 6265 OLD WATER OAK ROAD, SUITE 204, TALLAHASSEE FL 32312
Hale Partnership Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 5960 FAIRVIEW ROAD, SUITE 432, CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Solas Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 1063 POST ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Hale Partnership Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 3335 PARK SOUTH STATION BLVD., CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Matthew Hultquist director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Bradley G Garner officer: CFO and CAO 2115 E. 7TH STREET, SUITE 101, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Hale Steven A Ii director, 10 percent owner 5960 FAIRVIEW ROAD, SUITE 432, CHARLOTTE NC 28210
Matthew Wood Smith officer: Interim Chief Exec. Officer 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Jeffrey Stuart Gilliam director 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Tucker Golden Frederick 10 percent owner C/O SOLAS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 1063 POST ROAD, 2ND FLOOR, DARIEN CT 06820
Michael P Haley director 200 NORTH HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Talanta Investment Group, Llc director, 10 percent owner 401 N. TRYON STREET, 10TH FLOOR, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Justyn Rendal Putnam director 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260
Ian Dundee Lapey director 200 N. HAMILTON STREET, NO. 200, HIGH POINT NC 27260

HG Holdings (HG Holdings) Headlines

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