Hankyu Hanshin REIT (TSE:8977) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSE:8977 Hankyu Hanshin REIT Inc TSE:8977
61 GF Score
Price 円136,700.00
GF Value 円161,338.00
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Hankyu Hanshin REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Hankyu Hanshin REIT TSE:8977 +0.89% 61 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8977 with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of 円161,338.00 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Hankyu Hanshin REIT  (TSE:8977) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Hankyu Hanshin REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


TSE:8977 vs VICI, WPC: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hankyu Hanshin REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


TSE:8977
61GF Score
Hankyu Hanshin REIT Inc TSE:8977
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Hankyu Hanshin REIT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Hankyu Hanshin REIT (TSE:8977) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Hankyu Hanshin REIT's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Hankyu Hanshin REIT has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VICI and WPC?
Hankyu Hanshin REIT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a REITs company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the REITs industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Hankyu Hanshin REIT's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hankyu Hanshin REIT stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hankyu Hanshin REIT (TSE:8977) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円161,338.00, compared to a current price of 円136,700.00 — trading 15.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Hankyu Hanshin REIT's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hankyu Hanshin REIT (TSE:8977), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hankyu Hanshin REIT (TSE:8977) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hankyu Hanshin REIT stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円136,700.00 is trading 15.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円161,338.00. GuruFocus considers Hankyu Hanshin REIT to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8977:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: 円161,338.00 vs. price of 円136,700.00 (15.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8977 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hankyu Hanshin REIT Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address 19-19, Chayamachi, Applause Tower, 19th floor, Osaka, JPN, 530-0013
Hankyu Hanshin REIT Inc is a real estate investment trust. The firm manages funds contributed by unitholders by investing them mainly in real estate and real estate backed securities. Its portfolio comprises retail facilities, Office use facilities and Complex facilities. The firm holds the majority of its investments in Kansai region.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8977

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円136,700.00
Price
円161,338.00
GF Value