Absa Group (JSE:ABG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: R20.76 (As of Dec. 2025)

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JSE:ABG Absa Group Ltd JSE:ABG
77 GF Score
Price R220.40
GF Value R194.51
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Absa Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Absa Group JSE:ABG +0.10% 77 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R20.76 as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates JSE:ABG with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of R194.51 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Absa Group's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 was R51.148. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R20.76 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Absa Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Absa Group was 25.10% per year. The lowest was -0.30% per year. And the median was 9.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-21), Absa Group's current stock price is R 220.40. Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 was R20.76. Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 10.62.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Absa Group was 28.77. The lowest was 8.28. And the median was 15.91.


Absa Group  (JSE:ABG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=220.40/20.76
=10.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Absa Group was 28.77. The lowest was 8.28. And the median was 15.91.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Absa Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Absa Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Absa Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Absa Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.82 11.33 13.26 17.25 20.76

Absa Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.26 0.00 17.25 0.00 20.76

JSE:ABG vs PNC, USB: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Absa Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


JSE:ABG
77GF Score
Absa Group Ltd JSE:ABG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Absa Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Absa Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2025)
=51.148/162.8800*162.8800
=51.148

Current CPI (Dec. 2025) = 162.8800.

Absa Group Annual Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201612 1.596 109.002 2.385
201712 -7.708 113.907 -11.022
201812 7.635 118.921 10.457
201912 7.789 123.717 10.255
202012 2.514 127.467 3.212
202112 2.465 135.029 2.973
202212 20.536 145.156 23.044
202312 45.407 152.718 48.429
202412 64.351 157.212 66.671
202512 51.148 162.880 51.148

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R20.76 mean?
Absa Group (JSE:ABG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R20.76 as of Dec. 2025. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Absa Group and its competitors.
Is Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Absa Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R20.76. Overall, Absa Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to PNC and USB?
Absa Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R20.76 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Banks company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Banks industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Absa Group and its competitors. Absa Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R20.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Absa Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Absa Group (JSE:ABG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R194.51, compared to a current price of R220.40 — trading 13.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R20.76. Absa Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Absa Group (JSE:ABG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R20.76 as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Absa Group (JSE:ABG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Absa Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R220.40 is trading 13.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of R194.51. GuruFocus considers Absa Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:ABG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: R20.76
  • GF Value™: R194.51 vs. price of R220.40 (13.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:ABG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Absa Group Business Description

Other Exchanges AGRPY:USAAU61:Germany
Address 15 Troye Street, PO Box 7735, 7th Floor, Absa Towers West, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2000
Absa Group Ltd is a financial services company that has two main business segments: Personal and Private Banking offers a comprehensive range of product and services to the retail consumer segments. Customers are served through an extensive integrated channel network across physical and virtual points of presence, including partnerships, and more increasingly through digital. and Business Banking consists of business units and associated products where a designated client relationship exists. The business provides customers with a single relationship manager, supported by a team of specialists, rather than multiple touchpoints within the Group. Majority of the revenue is earn from Personal and Private Banking.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:ABG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R220.40
Price
R194.51
GF Value