Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$0.39 (As of Mar. 2026)

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TSX:BTE Baytex Energy Corp TSX:BTE
51 GF Score
Price C$6.09
GF Value C$2.12
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Baytex Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Baytex Energy TSX:BTE -1.77% 51 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.39 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:BTE with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of C$2.12 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Baytex Energy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was C$-0.042. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.39 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Baytex Energy's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -9.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Baytex Energy was 79.90% per year. The lowest was -23.40% per year. And the median was 1.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-26), Baytex Energy's current stock price is C$6.09. Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was C$0.39. Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 15.62.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Baytex Energy was 27.56. The lowest was 0.55. And the median was 7.00.


Baytex Energy  (TSX:BTE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=6.09/0.39
=15.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Baytex Energy was 27.56. The lowest was 0.55. And the median was 7.00.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Baytex Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Baytex Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Baytex Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Baytex Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.31 0.44 0.41 0.37 0.38

Baytex Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.38 0.39

TSX:BTE vs COP, EOG, FANG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Baytex Energy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:BTE
51GF Score
Baytex Energy Corp TSX:BTE
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Baytex Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Baytex Energy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.042/132.2623*132.2623
=-0.042

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Baytex Energy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.092 102.002 0.119
201609 0.233 101.765 0.303
201612 -0.133 101.449 -0.173
201703 -0.347 102.634 -0.447
201706 -0.058 103.029 -0.074
201709 0.070 103.345 0.090
201712 0.027 103.345 0.035
201803 -0.026 105.004 -0.033
201806 -0.020 105.557 -0.025
201809 0.036 105.636 0.045
201812 -0.028 105.399 -0.035
201903 0.006 106.979 0.007
201906 0.247 107.690 0.303
201909 0.099 107.611 0.122
201912 0.145 107.769 0.178
202003 0.009 107.927 0.011
202006 0.026 108.401 0.032
202009 0.139 108.164 0.170
202012 -0.048 108.559 -0.058
202103 0.066 110.298 0.079
202106 0.193 111.720 0.228
202109 0.148 112.905 0.173
202112 0.286 113.774 0.332
202203 0.078 117.646 0.088
202206 0.460 120.806 0.504
202209 0.255 120.648 0.280
202212 0.359 120.964 0.393
202303 -0.091 122.702 -0.098
202306 0.036 124.203 0.038
202309 0.034 125.230 0.036
202312 0.287 125.072 0.303
202403 -0.081 126.258 -0.085
202406 0.197 127.522 0.204
202409 0.302 127.285 0.314
202412 0.326 127.364 0.339
202503 0.032 129.181 0.033
202506 -0.005 129.892 -0.005
202509 0.184 130.287 0.187
202512 0.058 130.366 0.059
202603 -0.042 132.262 -0.042

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.39 mean?
Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.39 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Baytex Energy and its competitors.
Is Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Baytex Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.39. Overall, Baytex Energy has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to COP and EOG?
Baytex Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$0.39 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Baytex Energy and its competitors. Baytex Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Baytex Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$2.12, compared to a current price of C$6.09 — trading 187.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.39. Baytex Energy's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$0.39 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Baytex Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$6.09 is trading 187.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$2.12. GuruFocus considers Baytex Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:BTE:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$0.39
  • GF Value™: C$2.12 vs. price of C$6.09 (187.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:BTE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Baytex Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges BTE:USAB5X:Germany
Address 2800, 520 - 3rd Avenue SW, Centennial Place, East Tower, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 0R3
Baytex Energy Corp is an oil and gas company. Geographically, the group operates in Canada and the United States. The company derives a majority of revenue from Canada. Its Canada segment includes the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in Western Canada.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:BTE

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$6.09
Price
C$2.12
GF Value