Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF-1.40 (As of Mar. 2026)


XSWX:MS Morgan Stanley XSWX:MS
71 GF Score
Price CHF178.42
GF Value CHF123.75
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Morgan Stanley XSWX:MS 71 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.40 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:MS with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF123.75. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF-3.923. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF-1.40 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Morgan Stanley was 72.90% per year. The lowest was -150.60% per year. And the median was -7.10% per year.

As of today (2026-07-09), Morgan Stanley's current stock price is CHF178.42. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF-1.40. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 2604.75. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.84.


Morgan Stanley  (XSWX:MS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 2604.75. The lowest was 3.25. And the median was 8.84.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.69 2.22 0.00 0.00 0.00

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.40

XSWX:MS vs GS, SCHW, HOOD: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


XSWX:MS
71GF Score
Morgan Stanley XSWX:MS
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-3.923/330.2130*330.2130
=-3.923

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 6.025 241.018 8.255
201609 -4.526 241.428 -6.190
201612 -1.549 241.432 -2.119
201703 -0.141 243.801 -0.191
201706 -7.735 244.955 -10.427
201709 2.730 246.819 3.652
201712 1.976 246.524 2.647
201803 6.551 249.554 8.668
201806 -7.491 251.989 -9.816
201809 7.912 252.439 10.350
201812 -4.470 251.233 -5.875
201903 9.851 254.202 12.797
201906 6.001 256.143 7.736
201909 7.845 256.759 10.089
201912 -0.308 256.974 -0.396
202003 14.321 258.115 18.321
202006 -10.532 257.797 -13.490
202009 -4.084 260.280 -5.181
202012 -12.790 260.474 -16.214
202103 13.479 264.877 16.804
202106 2.022 271.696 2.457
202109 0.768 274.310 0.925
202112 -0.155 278.802 -0.184
202203 -0.219 287.504 -0.252
202206 7.947 296.311 8.856
202209 -4.823 296.808 -5.366
202212 -8.203 296.797 -9.127
202303 -5.890 301.836 -6.444
202306 -5.736 305.109 -6.208
202309 1.552 307.789 1.665
202312 -9.942 306.746 -10.703
202403 1.949 312.332 2.061
202406 0.929 314.175 0.976
202409 -9.604 315.301 -10.058
202412 6.055 315.605 6.335
202503 -13.635 319.799 -14.079
202506 5.649 322.561 5.783
202509 -2.025 324.800 -2.059
202512 -1.567 324.054 -1.597
202603 -3.923 330.213 -3.923

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.40 mean?
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.40 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors.
Is Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.40. Overall, Morgan Stanley has a GF Score™ of 71/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to GS and SCHW?
Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.40 can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Capital Markets company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued right now?
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of CHF-1.40. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF123.75, compared to a current price of CHF178.42 — trading 44.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.40. Morgan Stanley's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is CHF-1.40 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF178.42 is trading 44.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF123.75.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:MS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: CHF-1.40
  • GF Value™: CHF123.75 vs. price of CHF178.42 (44.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:MS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Morgan Stanley Business Description

Address 1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of 2025. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:MS

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF178.42
Price
CHF123.75
GF Value