Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 3.88 (As of Jul. 09, 2026) — 132% Above Median


XSWX:MS Morgan Stanley XSWX:MS
71 GF Score
Price CHF178.42
GF Value CHF123.75
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Morgan Stanley XSWX:MS 71 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.88 as of Jul. 09, 2026, which is 132% above its 10-year median of 1.67. GuruFocus rates XSWX:MS with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF123.75. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 639 Capital Markets companies, Morgan Stanley ranks worse than 79.34% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-09), Morgan Stanley's current share price is CHF178.42. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF46.02. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 3.88.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:MS' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.78   Med: 1.67   Max: 3.78
Current: 3.69

During the past years, Morgan Stanley's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 3.78. The lowest was 0.78. And the median was 1.67.

XSWX:MS's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
79.34% of 639 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.33 vs XSWX:MS: 3.69

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF52.102. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is CHF46.02 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Morgan Stanley  (XSWX:MS) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.21 1.74 1.80 2.30 3.08

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.10 2.49 2.77 3.08 2.79

XSWX:MS vs GS, SCHW, HOOD: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


XSWX:MS
71GF Score
Morgan Stanley XSWX:MS
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=178.42/46.02
=3.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=52.102/330.2130*330.2130
=52.102

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 35.188 241.018 48.210
201609 36.112 241.428 49.392
201612 37.711 241.432 51.578
201703 37.533 243.801 50.836
201706 36.999 244.955 49.877
201709 37.416 246.819 50.058
201712 38.016 246.524 50.922
201803 37.149 249.554 49.156
201806 39.941 251.989 52.340
201809 39.378 252.439 51.510
201812 41.854 251.233 55.012
201903 42.847 254.202 55.659
201906 43.601 256.143 56.209
201909 45.065 256.759 57.957
201912 45.018 256.974 57.848
202003 47.091 258.115 60.245
202006 47.154 257.797 60.400
202009 46.355 260.280 58.810
202012 45.426 260.474 57.588
202103 49.009 264.877 61.098
202106 49.053 271.696 59.618
202109 50.350 274.310 60.611
202112 50.769 278.802 60.131
202203 50.356 287.504 57.836
202206 52.841 296.311 58.887
202209 53.008 296.808 58.974
202212 50.830 296.797 56.553
202303 51.028 301.836 55.825
202306 49.742 305.109 53.835
202309 49.553 307.789 53.163
202312 47.996 306.746 51.668
202403 49.409 312.332 52.238
202406 50.768 314.175 53.360
202409 49.346 315.301 51.680
202412 52.587 315.605 55.021
202503 53.375 319.799 55.113
202506 50.082 322.561 51.270
202509 50.141 324.800 50.977
202512 51.294 324.054 52.269
202603 52.102 330.213 52.102

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.88 mean?
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.88 as of Jul. 09, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. This is 132% above median its historical median of 1.67. Over the past decade, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.78 to 3.78. According to the industry distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #507 out of 639 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 79.3%.
Is Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.88 is 132% above median its 10-year median of 1.67. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.78 to a high of 3.78. The Capital Markets industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. Morgan Stanley's value of 3.88 is 191.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #507 out of 639 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Morgan Stanley has a GF Score™ of 71/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to GS and SCHW?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #507 out of 639 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Morgan Stanley in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33. Morgan Stanley's value of 3.88 is 191.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Morgan Stanley's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.78 to 3.78 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.67 vs. the industry median of 1.33, Morgan Stanley has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Capital Markets company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Capital Markets companies is 1.33, based on 639 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.88 is 191.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.88, which is 132% above median its own 10-year median of 1.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued right now?
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 3.88. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF123.75, compared to a current price of CHF178.42 — trading 44.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.88, which is 132% above median its 10-year median of 1.67 and 191.7% above the Capital Markets industry median of 1.33. Morgan Stanley's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 3.88 as of Jul. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF178.42 is trading 44.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF123.75.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:MS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 3.88 (132% above median its 10-year median of 1.67)
  • GF Value™: CHF123.75 vs. price of CHF178.42 (44.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 191.7% above the Capital Markets median (#507 of 639)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:MS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Morgan Stanley Business Description

Address 1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of 2025. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:MS

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF178.42
Price
CHF123.75
GF Value