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Morgan StanleyXSWX:MS 75 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-44.34 as of Aug. 06, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:MS with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF137.81. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 519 Capital Markets companies, Morgan Stanley ranks worse than 192678.03% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-06), Morgan Stanley's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-44.34. The stock price of Morgan Stanley is CHF175.90. Therefore, Morgan Stanley's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Morgan Stanley's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Morgan Stanley was 120.42. The lowest was 0.30. And the median was 0.82.
XSWX:MS's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 1.01 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Morgan Stanley's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
175.90
/
-39.015532601931
=
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Morgan Stanley Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Morgan Stanley Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Morgan Stanley Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
XSWX:MS vs GS, SCHW, HOOD: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Morgan Stanley Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Capital Markets Industry
For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Morgan Stanley Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF-44.34 mean?
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF-44.34 as of Aug. 06, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. Over the past decade, Morgan Stanley's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.30 to 120.42. According to the industry distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #999999 out of 519 companies in the Capital Markets industry.
Is Morgan Stanley's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Morgan Stanley's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-44.34. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.30 to a high of 120.42. Based on the distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #999999 out of 519 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Morgan Stanley has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Morgan Stanley's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to GS and SCHW?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #999999 out of 519 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Morgan Stanley in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. Historically, Morgan Stanley's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 0.30 to 120.42 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Capital Markets company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Capital Markets companies is 1.01, based on 519 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Morgan Stanley's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-44.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued right now?
Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of CHF-44.34. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF137.81, compared to a current price of CHF175.90 — trading 27.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-44.34. Morgan Stanley's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is CHF-44.34 as of Aug. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Morgan Stanley (XSWX:MS) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of CHF175.90 is trading 27.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF137.81.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:MS:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: CHF-44.34
GF Value™: CHF137.81 vs. price of CHF175.90 (27.6% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:MS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of 2025. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XSWX:MS
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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