FNRN (First Northern Community Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV): $34.66 (As of Mar26)


FNRN First Northern Community Bancorp FNRN
57 GF Score
Price $17.62
GF Value $9.98
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is First Northern Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

First Northern Community Bancorp FNRN -0.51% 57 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $34.66 as of Mar26. GuruFocus rates FNRN with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of $9.98 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

As of Mar26, First Northern Community Bancorp's earnings power value is $34.66. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 49.17

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


First Northern Community Bancorp  (NAS:FNRN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


First Northern Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


First Northern Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

First Northern Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

First Northern Community Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 57.89 34.22 34.52 36.27 24.35

First Northern Community Bancorp Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.42 32.72 33.94 24.35 34.66

FNRN vs WNEB, CCFN, FUNC: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Northern Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


FNRN
57GF Score
First Northern Community Bancorp FNRN
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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First Northern Community Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

First Northern Community Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 67.68
DDA 2.47
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 6.35
Tax Rate % 26.05
Maintenance Capex 1.21
Cash and Cash Equivalents 578.58
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 16.41

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $67.68 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 6.35,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 67.68 * 0.00% +6.35 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.05%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 26.05% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.47 * 0.5 * 26.05% = $0.3210998595 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.3210998595 = $0.3210998595 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
First Northern Community Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.21 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. First Northern Community Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $578.58 Mil.
First Northern Community Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
First Northern Community Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 16.41 Mil.

First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.3210998595 - 1.21)/ 9%+578.58-0 )/16.41
=34.66

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 34.658758114632-17.616 )/34.658758114632
= 49.17%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $34.66 mean?
First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $34.66 as of Mar26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on First Northern Community Bancorp and its competitors.
Is First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
First Northern Community Bancorp's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $34.66. Overall, First Northern Community Bancorp has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to WNEB and CCFN?
First Northern Community Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $34.66 can be compared against companies in the Banks industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Banks company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Banks industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on First Northern Community Bancorp and its competitors. First Northern Community Bancorp's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $34.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is First Northern Community Bancorp stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $9.98, compared to a current price of $17.62 — trading 76.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $34.66. First Northern Community Bancorp's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $34.66 as of Mar26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Northern Community Bancorp stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $17.62 is trading 76.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of $9.98. GuruFocus considers First Northern Community Bancorp to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FNRN:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): $34.66
  • GF Value™: $9.98 vs. price of $17.62 (76.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FNRN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


First Northern Community Bancorp Business Description

Address 195 North First Street, Dixon, CA, USA, 95620
First Northern Community Bancorp is a bank holding company for a community bank, First Northern Bank of Dixon. It conducts general banking activities, including collecting deposits and originating loans, and serves Solano, Yolo, Sacramento, Placer, El Dorado, and Contra Costa Counties. It offers a broad range of alternative investment products and services, equipment leasing, credit cards, merchant card processing, payroll services, and limited international banking services. The bank generates the majority of its revenue by providing various products and services to small and medium-sized businesses and individuals. including accepting demand, interest bearing transaction, savings, and time deposits, and making commercial, consumer, and real estate-related loans.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FNRN

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$17.62
Price
$9.98
GF Value